Elimizde janar-jagharmay qúny birtindep ósedi, dep jazdy  Ulysmedia.kz. LS-ting jazuynsha, múnday boljamdy Qoldanbaly ekonomikany zertteu ortalyghynyng (AERC) mamandary jasaghan.

Sarapshylardyng taldauyna sýiensek, 2025 jyldan bastap Qazaqstan EAEO-nyng birynghay energetikalyq kenistigine enui yqtimal. Osyghan baylanysty ortalyqtyng sarapshylary otyn baghasynyng birtindep ósuin jәne baghany retteu jýiesinen ketuin kýtude. Múnday shekteuler múnay óndeu zauytynyng rentabelidiligine teris әser etip, sonymen qatar ishki naryqta otyn tapshylyghyna әkeledi.

Qazirgi uaqytta Qazaqstanda janar-jagharmay (JJM) qúnyna shekteuler qoldanylady: Aiy-80 litrine 80-89 tenge, Qostanay jәne Soltýstik Qazaqstan oblystarynda Aiy-92 jәne Aiy-93 markaly benzinning baghasy litrine 187 tengeni, Qazaqstannyng basqa oblystarynda litrine 182 tengeni qúraydy. Diyzeli otyny halyq ýshin litrine 230-260 tenge, reziydent emester ýshin litrine 450 tenge.

AERC múnay boljamyna sәikes, pessimistik ssenariy kezinde Qazaqstannyng sauda әriptes elderi ekonomikalarynyng ortasha ólshengen ósui nóldik dengeyde qalyptasuy mýmkin. Búl әlemdik múnaygha degen súranystyng tómendeuine әkeledi. Sondyqtan, QR múnay jәne gaz kondensatyn óndiru 2023 jyly 84 mln tonna dengeyinde qalyptasuy mýmkin. 2023 jylgha arnalghan bazalyq ssenariyde múnay jәne kondensat óndiru kólemi – 86 mln tonna.

Búl rette, halyqaralyq energetikalyq agenttikting (HEA) boljamyna sәikes, Brent barreline $83,1, OPEK barreline $90, Goldman Sachs – 2023 jyly barreline $98 bolady dep kýtedi.

HEA Reseydegi óndiristing tәuligine 1,5 mln barrelige tómendeui OPEK-ke kirmeytin birneshe elderde óndiristing aitarlyqtay ósuimen jәne OPEK eksportynyng kólemimen óteletinin atap ótti.

Biyl AERC eki drayver – Resey men Qytay basym bolady dep kýtedi. Eger biyl múnaygha degen súranys tәuligine 1,9 mln barrelige ósip, tәuligine 101,7 mln barrelige jetui mýmkin bolsa, búl tarihtaghy eng joghary kórsetkish, onda sanksiyalardyng tolyq әserinen Reseyden jetkizilimderding bayaulauy tepe-tendikti nasharlatady dep kýtilude.

Sonymen qatar, Qytay jahandyq súranystyng ósuining jartysyna juyghyn yntalandyrady dep kýtilude. Ekinshi jaghynan, energiya tiyimdiligining artuy jәne elektromobiliderding tez ósip kele jatqan satylymy 2023 jyly әlemdik súranystyng tәuligine 900 myng barrelige ósuin tejeydi. Múnday sharalar shekteuli múnay naryghynda erekshe manyzdy.

Álemdik múnay naryghyndaghy súranys pen úsynystyng tepe-tendigi ýshin taghy bir manyzdy tәuekel faktory Europalyq Odaq tarapynan Resey múnay ónimderining teniz importyna tyiym saludy 2023 jylghy 5 aqpannan bastap engizu boluy mýmkin. Ol qazirding ózinde Úlybritaniya men AQSh-ta qoldanylady. Bloomberg-ting jazuynsha, EO-nyng jana shekteuleri negizgi naryqtyng joghaluyna baylanysty Reseyding múnay eksporty ýshin joyqyn boluy mýmkin. Qytay men Ýndistan siyaqty Aziyanyng iri naryqtary ózderining múnay óndeu zauyttary ýshin shiyki múnay importyna kóbirek qyzyghushylyq tanytuda, al dayyn ónim importynyng ýlesi tómen.

Abai.kz