Býgingi tanda kóptegen әskery sarapshylar Resey de, Ukraina da sheshushi jeniske jetken joq dep sanaydy.

Soghys úzaqqa sozylghan, resursty sarqugha baghyttalghan qaqtyghysqa ainaldy.

Biraq «kim jenip jatyr?» degen súraqtyng jauaby «Jenisti qalay anyqtaymyz?» degenge baylanysty.

Eger jenis Reseyding bastapqy maqsattarymen ólshense - onda Resey tolyq jeniske jetken joq deuge bolady:

* Ukraina memlekettiligin jәne әskerin saqtap qaldy;
* Kiyev alynbady;
* Ukraina tize býkken joq;
* NATO kerisinshe belsendirek bola týsti;
* Europa Ukrainany әskery qoldaudy kýsheytti.

Osy túrghydan Ukraina jaqtastary: «Resey Ukrainany tolyq baghyndyru maqsatyna jete almady», — deydi.

Eger jenis territoriyany ústap túrumen jәne resurstyq basymdyqpen ólshense, onda Resey jaqtastary basqa dәlelder keltiredi:

* Resey Ukraina territoriyasynyng shamamen 20%-yn baqylauda ústap otyr;
* Reseyding halqy da, ónerkәsiptik әleueti de ýlken;
* Resey úzaqqa sozylatyn soghysty jýrgize alady;
* Ukraina Batys kómegine qatty tәueldi.

Búl jaghdayda argument bylay aitylady:

«Resey bayau bolsa da strategiyalyq túraqtylyqty saqtap otyr».

Nelikten kóp adam «teng jaghday» nemese «túiyqqa tirelu» deydi? Sebebi:

* Resey shaghyn ilgerileu ýshin ýlken shyghyngha úshyrap otyr;
* Ukraina shabuyldy tejep keledi, biraq territoriyalardy tez qaytara almay otyr;
* eki tarap ta dron soghysy men qorghanysqa beyimdelip aldy;
* maydan shebi óte bayau ózgerude.

«Jenisti» logikalyq túrghydan qalay negizdeuge bolady?

Ukraina paydasyna argument:

* Resey jyldam jenisti josparlady. Búl - oryndalmady.

* Ukraina tәuelsizdigin saqtap qaldy. Demek, Reseyding strategiyalyq jospary iske aspady.

Resey paydasyna argument:

* Resey edәuir territoriyany baqylauda ústap otyr.

* Ekonomikalyq jәne mobilizasiyalyq resursy kóbirek.

* Ukraina syrtqy kómekke tәueldi.

Demek, úzaq soghysta Reseyding artyqshylyghy boluy mýmkin.

Neghúrlym beytarap qorytyndy:

Qazirgi tanda soghys:

* Reseyding territoriyalyq túrghydaghy ishinara jetistigin;

* Ukrainanyng aman qalyp, qarsylasu túrghysyndaghy ishinara jetistigin;

* eki jaqtyng da týpkilikti jeniske әli jetpegenin kórsetedi.

Abai.kz