“Tәuelsizdikti qorghau” halyqtyq-demokratiyalyq qozghalysynyng Kedendik odaq pen Birtútas ekonomikalyq kenistik turaly mәlimdemesi
Resey Federasiyasy, Belarusi jәne Qazaqstan Respublikasynyng Kedendik odaghy men bolashaq Birtútas ekonomikalyq kenistigining qabyl alugha bolmaytyn teris jaqtary mynalar:
1. Mamandanghan adamdardyng taghdyry sheshiletin, orasan zor sayasi, ekonomikalyq, әleumettik manyzy bar, elimizding egemendigi men tәuelsizdigin anyqtaytyn, sayyp kelgende, býkil halyqtyn, qazaq últy men onyng memlekettiligining keleshegin sheshetin mәselening jalpyhalyqtyq talqylaugha (referendumgha) salynbay, at tóbelindey biyliktegi toptyng atýsti kelistire saluy - órkeniyettilik pen adamy ústanymdardy ayaqasty etu dep baghalaugha bolady.
2. Kedendik odaqtyng (RF, BR, QR) Qazaqstan ekonomikasyna, Birtútas ekonomikalyq kenistik onyng qarjy jәne sayasy jýiesine qanshalyqty paydaly jәne qanshalyqty ziyandy ekenine jan-jaqty ghylymi, qoghamdyq, tәuelsiz saraptama jýrgizilip, onyng әleumettik, ekonomikalyq, qarjylyq jәne sayasy saldaryna bagha berilip, ong men soly jariyalanyp, qatardaghy azamattar týgili ghalymdar men mamandar pikiri esepke alynghan joq.
Resey Federasiyasy, Belarusi jәne Qazaqstan Respublikasynyng Kedendik odaghy men bolashaq Birtútas ekonomikalyq kenistigining qabyl alugha bolmaytyn teris jaqtary mynalar:
1. Mamandanghan adamdardyng taghdyry sheshiletin, orasan zor sayasi, ekonomikalyq, әleumettik manyzy bar, elimizding egemendigi men tәuelsizdigin anyqtaytyn, sayyp kelgende, býkil halyqtyn, qazaq últy men onyng memlekettiligining keleshegin sheshetin mәselening jalpyhalyqtyq talqylaugha (referendumgha) salynbay, at tóbelindey biyliktegi toptyng atýsti kelistire saluy - órkeniyettilik pen adamy ústanymdardy ayaqasty etu dep baghalaugha bolady.
2. Kedendik odaqtyng (RF, BR, QR) Qazaqstan ekonomikasyna, Birtútas ekonomikalyq kenistik onyng qarjy jәne sayasy jýiesine qanshalyqty paydaly jәne qanshalyqty ziyandy ekenine jan-jaqty ghylymi, qoghamdyq, tәuelsiz saraptama jýrgizilip, onyng әleumettik, ekonomikalyq, qarjylyq jәne sayasy saldaryna bagha berilip, ong men soly jariyalanyp, qatardaghy azamattar týgili ghalymdar men mamandar pikiri esepke alynghan joq.
3. Kedendik odaqty (RF, BR, QR) ýsh ay ishinde qauyrt qúryp jariya etkende dýnie jýzinde әr kezende, әr dengeyde qúrylyp әreket etip jatqan halyqaralyq integrasiyalyq (ekonomikalyq odaqtyng (60-tan astam) qúrylu, qalyptastyru jәne damu tәjiriybesi esepke alynghan joq. Mysaly, Europa Odaghy qúryluy men býgingi dengeyge jetuine 60 jyl qajet boldy. Mәselen, 1951-57 jyldary alghashqy dayyndyq satysynda Europanyng kómir men bolat birlestigi qúrylyp, kómir men bolattyng jalpy rynogi iske asyryldy.
1958-66 jyldary ekinshi satysynda Erkin sauda aimaghy (ESA) qúrylyp, Europa qauymdastyq ishinde ESA-da kedendik tólemder joyylyp, ýshinshi eldermen birdey kedendik tarif engizip, birdey agrarlyq sayasat jýzege asyrylatyn boldy.
1968-86 jyldary ýshinshi satyda Kedendik odaq qúrylyp, GhZJ - ghylymy zertteu júmystary, tehnologiyalyq damu men qorshaghan ortany qorghau salasynda biregey sayasat engizildi. Sonymen qatar valuta-qarjy salasynda integrasiya bastalyp, EKU biregey eseptik birlik engizildi.
1987-92 jyldary tórtinshi satysynda Jalpy rynok qúrylyp, mýshe elder arasynda kapital men júmys kýshining erkin qozghalysy, bólimsheler qúru erkindigi, qyzmetter saudasynyng erkindigi, basqasha aitsaq, 4 erkindik (tauar, qyzmet, kapital, júmys kýshi) jýzege asyp, energetika, kólik, әleumettik jәne aimaqtyq damuda biregey sayasat engizildi.
1993 jyldan besinshi satysynda Ekonomikalyq Europalyq odaq qalyptasyp, ekonomika men sayasatta integrasiya kýsheyip, valuta men aqsha nesie sayasatynyng birtútas ortalyghy qúrylyp, 1999 jyldyng qantarynan esepteuge qajet euro, al 2003 jyldan qolma-qol aqsha euro engizilip, Europalyq valutalyq odaq qúryldy.
Búl ýrdis Europa integrasiyasynda kelesi satyda Birtútas Europa konstitusiyasyn qabyldaugha jәne sayasy odaq qúrugha aparuy yqtimal. Búdan jasalatyn qorytyndy: "asyqpaghan arbamen qoyangha jetedi". Osynday bayypty integrasiyalyq sayasatty ústanyp otyrghandardyng qataryna Europalyq odaqtan basqa NAFTA-ny (Soltýstik Amerikanyng erkin sauda aimaghy, 1988j.), ASEAN-dy (Ontýstik Shyghys Aziya elderining qauymdastyghy, 1967j.), LAIY-dy (latyn amerikalyq integrasiyalyq qauymdastyghy, 1960j.) jәne t.b. jatqyzugha bolady.
4. Ghylymy túrghydan ekonomikalyq integrasiyany anyqtasaq, onda ol halyqaralyq enbek bólisi negizinde eki nemese odan da kóp últtyq memleketterding birigu ýderisi jәne ózara túraqty óndiristik ekonomikalyq baylanystardyng qalyptasuy. Búl túrghydan alghanda Resey de, Qazaqstan da óte úqsas ekonomikalyq qúrylym qalyptasqan, negizinen, birdey shiykizat óndirisine tәueldi elder (múnay, gaz, metal, biday t.b.). Sóitip, ekonomikalyq tiyimdilikke aparatyn әrtýrli enbek bólinisine say erekshe mamandandyrylyp, airyqsha ónim óndirip, absolutti nemese salystyrmaly óndiristik artyqshylyqtary alshaq, ekonomikalary ózara almasu arqyly zor paydalylyqqa qol jetkizetin memleketter (RF, QR) emes, kerisinshe, olar kóp rette bәsekelester. Ásirese, shiykizat óndiriletin salalarda ( uran, altyn, múnay, gaz, qara metall, týrli týsti metall, auyl sharuashylyq ónimderi t.b.).
Endeshe, obektivtik ekonomikalyq zandylyq túrghysynan kelgende, Kedendik odaq kóleminde eki elding ekonomikasynda bәsekelestik bәsensiydi, reseylik salalyq monopolizm oryn alady.
Qysqa merzimde Resey ekonomikasy paydagha shyghary sózsiz, óitkeni onyng shiykizat salasynyng bәsekege qabilettiligi QR ekonomikasynan joghary. Alayda úzaq merzim kezinde eki elding de bәsekening tejeluinen ekonomikasy zardap shegip, damu qarqyny tómendep, tiyimdiligi azayady.
5. Kenester Odaghy ydyrap, tәuelsiz memleketter dostastyghy qúrylghaly 20-jylgha juyq uaqyt ótkende RF men QR ekonomikalarynda qúrylymdyq jaghynan alghanda pәlendey ong ózgerister bolghan joq. Kerisinshe, eki el de ekonomikalyq qúrylymdyq sheginis jasap, shiykizat tәueldiligin terendete týsti. Mәselen, Qazaqstan Respublikasynda 1990 jyly jalpy ishki ónimning qúramynda ónerkәsipting ýlesi - 17%, múnay-gaz - 4%, auylsharuashylyghy - 38% bolsa, qazirgi derekterge sýiensek, ónerkәsip - 7%, auyl sharuashylyghy - 8%, al múnay-gaz 63% bolghanyn moyyndau kerek. Áriyne, Belarusi ekonomikasynyng tútastyghyn saqtap qaldy. Alayda olar da jana innovasiyalyq tehnologiyalardy iygerip, onyng negizinde jana industriyalyq ekonomika qúra alghan joq. Endeshe, kedendik odaq búrynghy eski Kenestik Odaqtyng tiyimsiz ekonomikasynyng shala jansar súlbasy ghana bolary haq.
6. Qazaqstanda jýrgizilgen jekeshelendiru saldarynan shetel kapitalyna tәueldilik qalyptasty. Mysaly, 2008 jyly tau-ken ónerkәsibinde 1871 kәsiporyn әreket etse, onyng 146-sy - shetel kәsiporyndary, 1722 - jeke, tek qana 3 memlekettik kәsiporyn, onyng ózinde 2 - shaghyn, 1 - orta, birde-bir iri kәsiporyn joq. Óndeu ónerkәsibinde 20 233 kәsiporyn bar. Memlekettik kәsiporyndardyng úzyn sany - 290 nemese bar-joghy 1%-dan sәl joghary, onyng tek 4-eui ghana iri kәsiporyn.
Qazaqstandaghy barlyq kәsiporyndar ishindegi memlekettik menshiktegi kәsiporyndardyng ýlesi 11%-gha juyq, ónerkәsiptik óndiris qúrylymyndaghy memleket ýlesi 1%-dan tómen, al sheteldik kәsiporyndardyng ónerkәsiptik óndiristegi ýlesi 25%-gha jaqyndaghan.
Eger shetel kapitalynyng aralasuymen qúrylghan qúqyqtyq jaghynan memlekettik emes menshikti nazargha alsaq, onda shetel menshigining ýlesi 43%-dan asyp jyghylady. Múnday jaghdayda Kedendik odaqtaghy Qazaqstan biyligi ekonomikagha pәrmendi әser ete almaytyny belgili. Mysaly, Europa qauymdastyghyndaghy memlekettik kәsiporyndardyng janadan jasalghan qúngha ýlesi - 12,5%, negizgi qorlargha salynghan kýrdeli qarjynyng 20%-gha juyghy jatady.
Memleket defolt jaghdayynda. Syrtqy qaryzy - $111 mlrd. Búl elding jalpy ishki ónimine ten. Dýniyege kelgen әrbir Qazaqstan azamatynyng shetelding aldyndaghy qaryzy - $7,5 myn. Múnyng bәri "Qazaqmys", Euraziya toby, "Mittalstili" siyaqty oligarhiyalyq toptardyng 15 jyl boyy budjetke tólem tólemeuinen, ekonomikanyng 20%-yn qúraytyn múnay salasynan $78 mlrd-tyng budjetke týspeuinen jәne el ekonomikasyn sheteldik kompaniyalardyng basqaruynan tuyndap otyr.
Qoryta kelgende, Qazaqstan Respublikasynyng ýkimeti RF nemese Belarusi siyaqty Kedendik odaqtyng ekonomikalyq mәselelerin sheshu barysynda basymdylyq tanyta almaydy, óitkeni ekonomikadaghy memleket ýlesi mýldem mardymsyz.
7. Kedendik odaq (RF, BR, QR) teng odaqtastar birlestigi emes. Odaq bolghannan keyin teng qúqyly, teng qabyrghaly, birdey dauys mólsheri bar mýsheler birigui kerek edi. KO-nyng komissiyasyn alsaq, múnda Reseyding dauys ýlesi - 57%, al BR men QR 21,5 dauystan bólisken, ózinen on ese ýlken elmen teng qabyrghaly odaq qúrylmaytynyn 70 jyldyng tәjiriybesi kórsetti. Búl jerde týsiniksiz mәsele Belarusita 2010 jyly 9,5 mln. adam meken etse, Qazaqstanda 16,5 mln. túrghyn bar. QR túrghyn sany BR-nan 1,8 ese artyq, jalpy ishki ónim kólemi 2 eseden astam kóp bolsa da, dauys mólsheri birdey. Jaraydy, búl asa manyzdy emes delik, al Reseydin KO komissiyasynda 57% dauyspen eki elding qosylyp qarsy shyqsa da (57%, ? 43%) basymdylyq tanytyp, óz mýddesin jýzege asyratyny aidan anyq. Búnday birlestikti kim odaq dep aita alady? Logikalyq túrghydan kelgende, múnday dauys arasalmaghy BR men QR-ding Resey Federasiyasyna bodandyqqa kirgenin aiqyn kórsetip túr. Aynalysqa týsetin tauarlar men qyzmetterding jalpy tariyfterining 90%-y Resey tarifterining dengeyine keltiriluge tiyisti.
Sәuir aiynda ("Kazahstanskaya pravda", 2 sәuir, 2010 j.) Qazaqstan tauarlar tarifterining 47,7% Resey tarifteri dengeyine keltirildi. Syrttan keletin tauarlargha bizding kedendik salyqtar men tólemder Resey Federasiyasynda ortasha eseppen alghanda tauar qúnynyng 10% - 16% qúrasa, bizde - 5% - 6% dengeyinde. Eger býkil importtyq tarifterdi Resey dengeyine kótersek, búl RF men BR basqa shetelden keletin import tauarlarynyng baghasy kem degende 5% -10%-gha kóteriletinin kórsetip túr.
Áriyne, búl qysqa merzimde ýkimetting malaqayyn aspangha atyp quanghan 61 mlrd. tenge týsimin berui mýmkin. Alayda úzaq merzimde kóptegen ozyq elderding sapaly ónimi importqa keluden qalyp, Qazaqstan tútynushylary RF men BR eskirgen tehnologiyalarynyng sapasyz ónimine telmirip qalary sózsiz. Endeshe, Kedendik odaqtyng qarapayym tútynushygha bereri - qymbatshylyq pen sapasyzdyq.
8. Qazaqstan Respublikasynda ashyq ekonomika qúryldy. Oghan dәlel jalpy ishki ónimmen syrtqy ekonomikalyq ainalym kólemining arasalmaghy birdey, al key jyldary syrtqy ekonomikalyq ainalym kólemi JIÓ - 18,3 mlrd. dollardy qúrasa, syrtqy ekonomikalyq ainalym kólemi 19,31 mlrd. (eksport - 10,34 mlrd., import 8,97 mlrd. dollar) boldy. Al 2008 jyly syrtqy ekonomikalyq ainalym kólemi 124,9 mlrd. (eksport - 76,35mlrd., import - 48,55 mlrd. dollar) JIÓ kólemine para-par. Búl bizding ekonomikamyz ýshin Kedendik sayasattyn, syrtqy saudalyq, monetarlyq jәne tariftik retteushi tetikterding qanshalyqty manyzdy ekenin kórsetedi. Ekonomikany retteudegi osy aspaptar men tútqalardy RF-gha óz erkimizben beruimiz ekonomikalyq qauipsizdik pen tәuelsizdikke núqsan keltireri sózsiz.
Eksportqa shygharatyn Qazaqstan óndirisining 300-ge tarta tauary bolsa, olardyng 200 atauynyng jalpy týsimi 10 mln. dollargha da jetpeydi. Tek 10 týrli tauar milliard dollardan astam týsim berse, tek jalghyz eksporttaghy 45,51 mlrd. dollar týsim týsiretin tauar múnay bolyp tabylady. Sóitip, býkil eksporttyng 61 payyzyn múnay men gaz qúraydy. Sondyqtan Kedendik odaqqa kirgende Resey Federasiyasyna tәueldilik arta týseri jәne bәsekege qabilettiligi kemy týsui әbden anyq.
9. Resey Federasiyasy men Belarusi Respublikasynyng óndiristik mýmkindikteri óndeu ónerkәsibinde Qazaqstanmen salystyrghanda anaghúrlym joghary. Ásirese, shaghyn jәne orta bizneske kelsek, Qazaqstandyq shaghyn kәsiporyndardyng bәsekege qabilettiligi tómen. Sondyqtan Kedendik odaq onsyz da túralap kóterile almay jatqan qazaqstandyq shaghyn, orta bizneske qosymsha soqqy bolyp tiyeri sózsiz.
10. RF-nyng auyl sharuashylyghy, әsirese egin sharuashylyghy Qazaqstan ekonomikasyna bәsekeles ekeni dausyz. Sondyqtan kedendik, tariftik tetikterdi Resey óz qolynda ústap, paydalana otyryp Qazaqstannyng bәsekeles auyl sharuashylyghyna oisyrata soqqy bereri haq. Mәselen, et ónimderine kelsek. Maldy mindetti týrde mal soyatyn arnauly oryndarda dәstýrlep soyylghan mal etine tosqauyl qoy arqyly, eldegi et ónimining baghasy 10 payyzgha óskenin tilge tiyek etsek te bolady.
11. Búl odaqtaghy ortaq til orys tili bolghandyqtan Qazaqstanda memlekettik tildi paydalanu ayasy kýrt tómendep, týbinde qoldanudan shyghyp qalu qaupin tudyrady. Sonymen qatar ol - bilim jýiesindegi memlekettik tildi oqudyn, memlekettik mekemelerde, aqparattyq kenistikte paydalanu qajettiligin joyyp, jalpy respublikadaghy memlekettik instituttardy әlsiretip, osy kenistikte tek orys tilin damytugha baghyttalghan jol.
12. Strategiyalyq túrghydan Keden odaghyna kiru arqyly әlemdik naryqtaghy ýlesi nebәri 2,58 payyz, damymaghan Resey ekonomikasyna basymdyq berip, damyghan elderding ekonomikalaryna kerisinshe syrtyn berui - el ekonomikasyn ekstensivti, agrarlyq jәne shiykizattyng búghauynda qaldyratyn jol. Qoghamdy damytatyn memleket aldymen 154 el mýshe bolyp otyrghan Álemdik sauda úiymyna kirudi oilauy kerek.
Jalpy, osy kedendik odaq - ol әlemdegi basqa odaqtarday (Euroodaq, NAFTA t.b.) onyng mýsheleri teng qúqyly ekonomikalyq úiym emes, Reseyding 1991 jyly ydyraghan Kenestik imperiyany qalpyna keltiru sayasaty. Sondyqtan osynday odaqqa kiru - ol tәuelsizdikten aiyryludyng tóte joly. Sebebi, búl odaq sayasi, ekonomikalyq, әleumettik, til t.b. barlyq salalarda tek qana Resey men orys tilining mýddelerin qorghap, oghan mýshe basqa elderding mýddelerin ayaqasty etip, týbinde tәuelsizdikten aiyratyn otarlau sayasatynyng bir týri.
Sonymen, qoryta kelsek, Kedendik odaq (RF, BR, QR) jan-jaqty oilastyrylyp, kópshiliktin, tәuelsiz ghylymy sarapshylardyng baghasyn alghan úiym emes. Onyng ong әserinen góri sayasi, ekonomikalyq, qarjylyq, menedjmenttik zardaptary asyp týsedi.