Songhy aptalarda Ukrainadaghy soghys qimyldary jana sipatqa ie boldy. BBC sarapshylarynyng derekterine sýiensek, Resey әskeri taktikalyq ózgeristerge baryp, maydan shebindegi qysymdy arttyrugha tyrysuda. Búl ózgeristerding soghys barysyna әseri qanday jәne aldaghy uaqytta bizdi ne kýtip túr?

Taktikalyq «iykemdilik» jәne artilleriya ýstemdigi

Maqala avtorlarynyng aituynsha, Resey qolbasshylyghy búrynghy «jappay shabuyl» әdisinen góri, kishigirim toptarmen nýkteli soqqy jasau taktikasyna kóshken. Búl әdis shyghyndy azaytugha jәne Ukraina qorghanysynyng әlsiz tústaryn anyqtaugha baghyttalghan. Ásirese, artilleriya men basqarylatyn aviasiyalyq bombalardy (BAB) qoldanu Resey tarapyna aitarlyqtay basymdyq berip otyr.

Sarapshylardyng pikirinshe, Ukraina qaruly kýshteri ýshin eng ýlken qiyndyq – oq-dәri tapshylyghy men әue shabuylyna qarsy qorghanys jýielerining jetispeushiligi. Búl faktor Resey әskerining keybir baghyttarda ilgerileuine mýmkindik berdi.

Energetikalyq soghys: Tyldaghy qysym

BBC materialynda Reseyding Ukrainanyng energetikalyq infraqúrylymyna jasaghan soqqylaryna erekshe nazar audarylady. Búl tek qalalardy jaryqsyz qaldyru emes, sonymen birge Ukrainanyng qorghanys ónerkәsibin toqtatu jәne halyq arasynda depressiyalyq kónil-kýy qalyptastyru strategiyasynyng bir bóligi.

«Energetikalyq nysandardy atqylau – búl tek tehnikalyq zaqym keltiru emes, búl psihologiyalyq qysym qúraly», - deydi batys sarapshylary. Alayda, Ukrainanyng búl synaqtargha tótep beru qabileti men energetika jýiesin jedel qalpyna keltiru júmystary Reseyding kýtken nәtiyjesine tolyq jetuine kedergi boluda.

Batystyng kómegi men geosayasy faktorlar

Maqalanyng manyzdy bóligi Batys elderining әskery kómegine arnalghan. AQSh pen Europa elderinen keletin qaru-jaraq jetkizilimining keshigui maydan dalasyndaghy tepe-tendikting búzyluyna alyp keldi. Sarapshylardyng tújyrymynsha, Ukrainanyng aldaghy tabysy tikeley jana tehnologiyalar men zamanauy úshaqtardyng (mәselen, F-16) qanshalyqty tez jetkiziluine baylanysty bolmaq.

Boljam: Soghys qashan jәne qalay ayaqtalady?

Qazirgi tanda taraptardyng eshqaysysy sheshushi jeniske jetken joq. Soghys «pozisiyalyq» sipatqa ie bolyp, resurstardy sarqu kezenine ótti. Reseyding strategiyasy – Batystyng qoldauy әlsiregenshe soghysty soza beru bolsa, Ukrainanyng maqsaty – belsendi qorghanys arqyly jaudyng kýshin sarqyp, qarsy shabuylgha dayyndalu.

Týiindey kele, BBC saraptamasy aldaghy ailardyng soghys tarihyndaghy eng qiyn әri sheshushi kezeng bolatynyn menzeydi. Diplomatiyalyq sheshimderding auyly әli alys ekenin eskersek, maydandaghy teketires jana qarqynmen jalghasa bermek.

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