Songhy jyldary qoghamda «Qytay ekspansiyasy» jayly pikirler jii aitylyp jýr. Búl ýderis Qazaqstan-Qytay tauar ainalymnyng 2010 jyly 20 mlrd. AQSh dollarynan asuy men energetikalyq saladaghy qatynastardyng terendey týsuine baylanysty erekshe qarqyn aldy. Ýstimizdegi jyldyng 14-15 mausymynda ShYÚ 10 jyldyghyna kelgen QHR tóraghasy Hu Szinitao men QR Preziydenti N.Nazarbaev eki jaqty tauar ainalymyn 2015 jylgha qaray 40 mlrd. AQSh dollaryna jetkizuge uaghdalasty. Sonday-aq, eki el basshylarynyng energetikalyq saladaghy yntymaqtastyqty odan әri terendetudi oilastyryp otyrghandyqtaryn mәlimdeui men QR Ekonomikalyq damu jәne sauda ministri Q.Kelimbetovtyng keleshekte elimiz altyn valuta aktivterin qytaylyq yuani valutasyna ótkiziletinin tilge tiyek etui de kópshilik arasynda qyzu talqylanyp ýlgerdi. Múnday qarqyndy damu dinamikasy qoghamda taghy da dýrbeleng tughyzatynyn jәne týrli alyp-qashpa sózderge sebep bolatynyn qazirden boljau qiyn emes.

Songhy jyldary qoghamda «Qytay ekspansiyasy» jayly pikirler jii aitylyp jýr. Búl ýderis Qazaqstan-Qytay tauar ainalymnyng 2010 jyly 20 mlrd. AQSh dollarynan asuy men energetikalyq saladaghy qatynastardyng terendey týsuine baylanysty erekshe qarqyn aldy. Ýstimizdegi jyldyng 14-15 mausymynda ShYÚ 10 jyldyghyna kelgen QHR tóraghasy Hu Szinitao men QR Preziydenti N.Nazarbaev eki jaqty tauar ainalymyn 2015 jylgha qaray 40 mlrd. AQSh dollaryna jetkizuge uaghdalasty. Sonday-aq, eki el basshylarynyng energetikalyq saladaghy yntymaqtastyqty odan әri terendetudi oilastyryp otyrghandyqtaryn mәlimdeui men QR Ekonomikalyq damu jәne sauda ministri Q.Kelimbetovtyng keleshekte elimiz altyn valuta aktivterin qytaylyq yuani valutasyna ótkiziletinin tilge tiyek etui de kópshilik arasynda qyzu talqylanyp ýlgerdi. Múnday qarqyndy damu dinamikasy qoghamda taghy da dýrbeleng tughyzatynyn jәne týrli alyp-qashpa sózderge sebep bolatynyn qazirden boljau qiyn emes.

Qazaqstan ýshin Qytay qauipti me? Atalmysh kórshimiz bylay túrsyn, ontýstik kórshilerimiz Ózbekstan, Qyrghyzstan jәne Týrkmenstannan da elimizding últtyq qauipsizdigine syzat týsirui mýmin qaterler joq emes. Al, әlem elderi jappay zerttep, keleshekte әlemning birinshi ekonomikasyna ainalady dep sәuegeylik tanytqan Qytaydyng tәuelsizdigin jana alyp, sýiegi bekip kele jatqan Qazaqstangha yqpal etuin joqqa shygharu artyqtyq bolar edi. Sondyqtan elimizding arnauly organdarynyng aldynda qyruar sharular kýtip túr. Búl sharalar jayly jazbas búryn Qytay fobiyasy jayly pikirlerge taldau jasap kórelik.

Qytay әlemdegi ekinshi iri ekonomika. Elding JIÓ qazirgi tanda 5,8 trln. AQSh dollaryn qúraydy. Búl ózimen halqy dengeyles Ýndistannyng JIÓ-nen shamamen 4 ese joghary. Biraq Qytayda halyq sanynyng joghary boluynan el túrghyndarynyng jan basyna shaqqandaghy tabysy әlemde 100-dikke kiredi. Sonday-aq, tenizben shektesetin aimaqtaghy halyqtyng әldeqayda baquatty, al ortalyq shyghys jәne soltýstik audandaghy qytaylyqtardyng kedey qalypta ómir sýrip jatqanyn eskeruimiz qajet. Jyl sayyn 10 payyz damudy baghyndyryp kele jatqan Qytay ekonomikasy keshegi ótken qarjy daghdarysynda da syr bermedi. Mamandar búl damudyng keleshek on jyl shamasynda jalghasa beretinin boljauda. Sondyqtan Qytay ekonomikasy әli kóptegen asulardy baghyndarudy maqsat etude. Industriyasy jolgha qoyylghan Qytay elinen aghylghan tauarlar әlem naryghyn jaulauda. Búl Qazaqstandy da ainalyp ótpeytini zandy bolatyn. Biz búghan Qytaydy aiyptaugha tiyisti emespiz. Óitkeni ekonomikanyng zanyna sәikes industriya damyghan sayyn qosymsha naryq izdey bastaytyny jasyryn emes. Elimizdegi qytaylyq tauarlardyng qaptauyn otandyq tauar óndiru men industriyanyng kenje qaluynan dep qarauymyz qajet.

Qytay ekonomikasynyng damuy onyng «әlem sheberhanasy» boluymen tyghyz baylanysty. Álemning ozyq firmalarymen kelisimshartqa otyrghan qytaylyqtar sol firma tauarlarynyng «made in China» degen núsqasyn shygharyp, әlemdi arzan biraq sapasyz tauarmen qamtamasyz etude. Al «aqylmen júmys isteushi» batystyqtar ómirge әkelgen baghdarlamasy men jobalaryn júmys kýshi arzan Qytayda jýzege asyruda. Sәikesinshe ghylymnyng arqasynda ózi de kelisimge sәikes qyruar qarjy tauyp otyr. Qytay ónertapqyshtary men ghalymdarynyng enbegi arqasynda býkil әlemdi tәnti etip, jahan naryghyn jaulaghan aituly markalardy atauymyz qiyn. Búl aspan asty elinde ghylym men bilimning kenje qalyp otyrghanyn kórsetedi. Al ghylymgha negizdelmegen industriyanyng ómirshendigine kýmәnmen qaraugha bolady.

«Qytay fobiyasynyn» astarynda elimizde mýddesi bar Resey, AQSh jәne batystyq elderding pighyly jatqanyn da joqqa shygharmauymyz kerek. Óitkeni búl elder ózine aitarlyqtay bәsekeles Qytaydy barynsha «jau» etip kórsetuge tyrysary anyq. Al elimizding reseylik jәne batystyq medianyng yqpalynda otyrghany búl mәselege aitarlyqtay ong yqpal etude. Qytay da óz kezeginde aimaqtaghy status-kvony ózining «beybit maqsattaghy» sayasatyn nasihattaugha kýsh saluda.

Qazaqstan-Qytay qatynastarynda әli de naqty sheshimin tappay kele jatqan jәne strategiyalyq manyzdy mәseleler barshylyq. Solardyng biri transshekaralyq ózender mәselesi. Qyrghyzstanmen aradaghy memlekettik shekarany uaqytsha jabuymyzgha jauap retinde qyrghyz aghayyndardyng elimizge keletin ózenderding aldyn bógegeni әli esimizde. Qytaydyng da keleshekte ózine tiyimdi kelisimshartqa otyruy ýshin osy «qarudy» qoldanbasyna kim kepil? Tipti, «Batysty iygeru sayasaty» boyynsha 2050 jylgha qaray Shynjan aimaghynyng halqy 50 milliongha jetedi dep kýtilude. Búl óz kezeginde Qytaydyng ózinde aghyn sugha degen qajettilikti arttyratyny sózsiz. Sol kezde Qazaqstannyng eng ýlken su seriktesi Qytaydyng elimizge keletin aghyn sudyng bir bóligin bógeui әbden mýmkin. Al búl Qazaqstannyng ekologiyalyq jaghdayyna teris yqpal eteri anyq.

Qazirgi tanda «Batys Qytay-Batys Europa» tasjoly qarqyndy salynuda. 2013 jyly qúrylysy tolyq ayaqtalady dep josparlanghan búl joldyng boyymen Qytay men Europanyng arasynda saudalanatyn tauarlar tasymaldanady dep kýtilude. Búl joba Qazaqstannyng tranzittik manyzyn arttyryp otyr. Qytay men Europa arasyndaghy jyldyq tauar ainalymynyng 500 mlrd. AQSh dollaryna juyq ekenin eskersek, «Batys Qytay-Batys Europa» jobasy Qazaqstangha da qyruar qarjy әkeleri sózsiz. Búl joba Qazaqstannyng da әlem elderine tauar eksporttauyna keng mýmkindik bereri anyq. Elimizding endigi maqsaty әlemdik naryqta bәsekege týse alatyn salalar boyynsha óndiristi damytu jәne shiykizattyq emes sektordy damytu boluy tiyis. Q.Kelimbetov Qytaymen qarym-qatynasta últtyq qauipsizdik birinshi orynda boluy tiyistigin aityp, keleshekte Qytaygha Qazaqstannyng auylsharuashylyghy ónimderin saudalauy mýmkin ekendigin jәne búl jolda dayyndyq jasalyp jatqanyn habarlady. Búl óte qúptarlyq jәit. Biz qalasaq ta, qalamasaq ta әlem elderimen ekonomikalyq qarym-qatynasqa kire beretinimizdi moyyndaugha tiyispiz. Sondyqtan Qazaqstannyng búl salada belsendi qimyldauy jәne qauipsizdik mәselesin jiti qadaghalauy qajet.

Qazaqstannyng Qytay ýshin tranzittik manyzdy el jәne energetikalyq túrghydan qajettiligining boluy keybir mәselelerdi sheshude óz yqpalyn tiygizui de qajet. Sonday-aq, Qytay Shynjan audanynyng әleuetin kóteru ýshin Qazaqstannyng qoldauyna kóp sýienedi. Óitkeni eki jaqty sauda qatynastary Shynjan aimaghynyng ekonomikasyn kóteruge ong yqpal etude. Sonymen qatar Qytay Qazaqstan territoriyasynda shoghyrlanghan 200 myng úighyr halqynyng da baqylauda ústaluyn qalaydy. Búl jóninde eki jaqty kelisim-sharttar jasalynghan. Osy atalghan mәseleler Qazaqstannyng shyghys kórshisi aldyndaghy strategiyalyq manyzyn arttyryp otyr. Bizding arnauly ókilderimiz de eki jaqty qatynastarda osynday nәzik dýniyelerdi negizge alghany paydaly bolmaq.

Qazirgi tanda Qazaqstanda Qytaytanu baghytynda ghylymiy-zertteu instituttary qúryluy kezek kýttirmes jәitterding biri. Ghylymy negizi bolmaghan diplomatiyanyng jetistikke jetui qiyn. Sondyqtan Qytay baghytynda ekonomikalyq, sayasi, mәdeny salalarda tereng zertteu júmystarymen ainalysyp, elimiz diplomatiyalyq arnauly ókilderine úsynyspen shyghyp otyratyn ortalyqtar ashylsa qúba-qúp bolar edi. «Tyshqan mysyqtyng qayda jýrgenin ýnemi baqylauda ústauy tiyis» degen tújyrymnyng jany bar. Óitkeni mysyq tyshqannyng ómirine kez-kelgen uaqytta qauip tóndirui әbden mýmkin. Al mysyqqa búl tek qarny ashqanda qajet bolady. Ashy da bolsa atalghan mysalgha sәikes Qazaqstannyng Qytaymen salystyrghanda mýmkindigi az ras. Sol ýshin de Qazaqstannyng әrbir qadamyn ghylymy túrghydan elep-ekshep baryp basqany dúrys. Atalmysh ghylymiy-zertteu ortalyqtary halyq arasynda Qytay taqyrybynda týsinbeushilikter tua qalghan jaghdayda týsindiru júmystarymen de ainalysatyn bolady. Óitkeni songhy eki-ýsh jylda qoghamda osy baghytta payda bolghan dýrbelenge ghylymy negizde halyqtyng kónilin ornyqtyratyn jauap berilmedi. Qytaydyng ózinde keybir derekterge sәikes tek Qazaqstandy zertteuge arnalghan 5-6 ghylymiy-zertteu ortalyqtary júmys isteytin kórinedi. Al tek әlemdegi Qytaytanudy zertteytin birneshe instituttar bar. Olardyng keybiri әlem boyynsha Qytay baghytynda jariyalanghan ghylymy enbekterdi qytay tiline audarumen shúghyldanady. Qazaqstangha osy baghytta sharalardy qolgha alu ózekti taqyryptardyng biri bolyp tabylady. 30-40 zertteushige layyqty jalaqysy berilip, tek qytaytanu baghytynda (mәdeniyet, sayasat, ekonomika t.b.) tynbay júmys isteytin bolsa, elimiz ýshin ýlken payda әkeleri sózsiz.

U.Cherchilli 1919 jyly «Ortalyq Aziya óz qoltyrauynyn kýtken sauyn siyr» degen eken. Ortalyq Aziya, sonyng ishinde Qazaqstan tarihta alyp memleketterding talay teperishin kórdi. Tarih әrqashan keleshekting baghdary boluy tiyis. Sondyqtan bizge qazirgi azattyghymyzdy saqtap qalyp, ózgelerge búl aimaqtyng shyn qojayynynyng kim ekenin úghyndyru qajet.

«Abay-aqparat»