Qazaqstandaghy referendum Ukraina maydanyn úmyttyrghanday. Alayda Ukraina soghysy qyzyp jatyr, jana fazagha auysyp, tipti aimaqtyq mәseleden әlemdik mәselege ainaldy. 

Ukraina әskeri Batys uәde etken zymyran keshenderi men auyr qashyqtyqqa soqqy jasaugha qabiletti artilleriyalargha qol jetkizdi. Auyr artilleriya qazirgi uaqytta el shyghysynda soqqy jasap jatsa, zymyran keshenderi әli úrysqa kirispedi. Olardy ýiretu men oqytugha úzaq uaqyt qajet, shamamen 3-6 apta deydi mamandar. Osy aralyqta Resey әskeri baryn salyp, ýsh baghytta shabuylgha shyqty. Olar Izum, Severodonesk jәne Lisichansk. Atalmysh qalalardy basyp alu arqyly, Resey batystyq kómek kelgenshe óz pozisiyasyn naqtylamaq. Ukraina әskeri qazirgi uaqytta Herson aimaghynda shabuylgha shyghyp, birneshe shaqyrym algha jyljydy. Mamandar Resey bir ay boyy shabuyldy ýdetedi degen oida.

Resey Ukraina porttaryndaghy astyqty syrtqa tasymaldaugha kedergi jasauda. Resey әskeri birneshe mln tonna astyqty Resey jәne Siriya aumaghyna shygharghany jayly aqparat bar. Búl әlemdik qauymdastyqty alandatyp otyr jәne Afrika men Aziya qúrlyghyndaghy astyq tapshylyghyn arttyrady degen qauipti boljamdardy tuyndatuda. Resey Ukraina astyghyn tasugha dәliz ashatynyn aituda, alayda ol ýshin Mәskeuge salynghan sanksiyalar jenildetilui tiyis deydi.

Sarapshylar Ukraina soghysy bes týrli ssenariymen órbui mýmkin degendi aituda.

Soghys ailar, tipti jyldar boyy jalghasuy mýmkin. Resey tarapy úzaq soghysqa dayyn ekenin mәlimdedi jәne Batys Ukrainany qoldaudy azaytyp, Qytay mәselesine kóbirek kónil bóluge kirisse, Putin úrys dalasynda jeniske jetedi dep sanaydy. Alayda qazirgi uaqytta Ukrainany qoldau kerisinshe artty jәne NATO jyldar boyy kómek kórsetuge әzir ekenin aituda.

Putin "Resey Ukrainadaghy kózdegen maqsattaryna tolyq jetti" dep soghysty ayaqtauy mýmkin degen de boljam bar. Búl Ukraina ózining bir aimaghynan bas tartsa nemese Reseyding ishki ekonomikalyq, sayasy jaghdayy kýrt nasharlasa iske asuy mýmkin. Alayda Ukraina óz aumaqtarynan bas tartpaytynyn aituda.

Ýshinshi ssenariy retinde taraptardyng úrys dalasynda qanday da bir nәtiyjege jetpey, sonynda kelisimge kelu maqsatynda úrys qimyldaryn toqtatuy mýmkin ekenin aitady. Qazirding ózinde aimaqtar bir qoldan ekinshi qolgha kýn sayyn ótip, jenis pen jenilis qatar kele jatyr.

Sarapshylar Resey әskeri nemese Ukraina jauyngerleri jenui mýmkin ekenin de aitady. Ukraina Resey әskerin óz jerine shegindirse, búl Kiyev ýshin jenis, ol jaghdayda Resey himiyalyq ne yadrolyq qaru qoldanuy mýmkin. Al Resey Donbassta jetistikke jetip, Kiyevke qayta shabuyl jasasa, soghys Ukraina ýshin jenilispen ayaqtaluy mýmkin deydi olar.

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