Reseyde jana mobilizasiya tolqyny nege qashyp qútylmaytyn qúbylysqa ainaluda?

«Financial Times» (FT) basylymy batys barlau qyzmetterining qúpiya derekkózderine silteme jasap, sensasiyalyq mәlimdeme jasady: Reseyding әskeriy-ónerkәsiptik kesheni (ÁÓK) óz shegine jetti. Endi soghysty jalghastyru ýshin Putinge jana jappay mobilizasiya jariyalaudan basqa amal qalmaghan siyaqty.

Nelikten alyp memleketting zauyttary qaru óndirisin arttyra almay otyr jәne búl maydan dalasyna qalay әser etpek? Oqighany terenirek taldap kóreyik.

«Tehnologiyalyq stagnasiya»: Zauyttar bar, maman qayda?

Batys barlauynyng dereginshe, Reseyding әskery óndirisi tyghyryqqa tirelgen. Drondar men alys qashyqtyqqa úshatyn zymyrandardan bólek, auyr tehnika men ózge qaru-jaraq shygharu dengeyi toqtap qalghan (stagnasiyada).

Múnyng basty sebepteri qanday?

Júmyssyzdyqtyng rekordyq tómendigi: Búl jaqsy kórsetkish emes, kerisinshe, naryqta júmys kýshinin, әsirese joghary tehnologiyalyq salalarda bilikti mamandardyng tapshylyghyn kórsetedi. Zauytqa túratyn adam joq.

Investisiyanyng joqtyghy: Jana zauyttar salyp, óndiristi úlghaytu ýshin milliardtaghan qarjy men jyldar kerek. Al uaqyt tyghyz.

Budjetting tesilui: Kelisimshartpen (kontrakt) soghysqa baratyndargha beriletin rekordtyq bonustar Resey budjetine ýlken salmaq týsirip jatyr. Londondyq IISS institutynyng mәlimetinshe, 2025 jyldyng jeltoqsanynan bastap maydangha qosylyp jatqandardyng sany shyghyngha úshyraghan әskerding ornyn toltyryp ýlgermey jatyr.

Drondar soghysy: Ukraina resurstyq basymdyqty qalay joqqa shyghardy?

Finlyandiyalyq Black Bird Group taldau ortalyghy qyzyq derek keltiredi: Resey әskeri biylghy aqpan-mamyr ailarynda Ukrainanyng bar-joghy 164 km² aumaghyn basyp alghan. Al ótken jyldyng tap osy kezeninde búl kórsetkish 1151 km² bolghan edi. Progress 7 esege bayaulaghan!

Sebebi nede? Ukrainanyng orta jәne alys qashyqtyqqa úshatyn drondary Reseyding logistikasyn, aerodromdaryn jәne múnay óndeu zauyttaryn (MÓZ) kýl-talqan etip jatyr. Nәtiyjesinde, Mәskeuding adam sany jaghynan basymdyghy manyzyn joghalta bastady. Polyak sarapshysy Konrad Muzykanyng pikirinshe: «Yadrolyq qarudy eseptemegende, Resey jana jappay mobilizasiya jariyalamasa, jaqyn ailarda maydan shebin ózgerte almaydy».

Mikromenedjment: Putin bәrin óz baqylauynda ústaghysy keledi

Osynday qiyn jaghdaygha qaramastan, Kremli basshysy jeniske jetetinine әli de senimdi. Derekkózderding aituynsha, Putin qazir soghysty tikeley basqarumen (mikromenedjment) ainalysady. Ol Bas shtab bastyghy Valeriy Gerasimovtyng esepterin kýnine eki retke deyin jeke ózi tyndaydy eken.

Biraq búl taktika iri tabystargha jetkizbey otyr. Europalyq sheneunikterding boljamy boyynsha, Kremli kýzde ótetin Memlekettik Duma saylauynan keyin jana mobilizasiya tolqynyn bastauy әbden mýmkin.

Týiin: Resey ýshin adam kapitaly — songhy «kózir» siyaqty. Tehnologiya men qaru-jaraq óndirisinen aqsaghan jýie, búl olqylyqtyng ornyn taghy da myndaghan sarbazdy maydangha aidau arqyly toltyrmaq pa? Biraq búl qadam ishki әleumettik jarylysqa әkelmey me?

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