Dýisenbi, 28 Qarasha 2022
Áne, kórding be? 2351 7 pikir 13 Mausym, 2022 saghat 13:17

Ýsh ay soghys - ýsh ssenariy

Reseyding Ukrainagha basyp kirgenine ýsh aidan asty. Álemning әkki әskery sarapshylary týrli saraptamalar jasauda. Olar Reseyding bir apta ishinde Kiyevti basyp alady degen boljamdarynyng iske aspaghanyn moyyndap, Resey әskery kýshin tym joghary baghalaghanyn aitady. 

Sarapshy Robert Menning Ukraina soghysyna qatysty ýsh týrli ssenariydi keltiredi. Ol soghys әli sheshushi fazagha jetpedi degen oida.

Birinshi ssenariy boyynsha Resey Ukrainany alqymnan aludy toqtatpaydy. Resey Qyrymgha aparatyn qúrlyq jolyn basyp alyp, ony nyghaytuda. Ukrainagha tiyesili bolghan Qara teniz jaghalauynyng bir bóligine iyelik etude. Endigi uaqytta ol Odessagha shabuylyn ýdetip, Kiyevti tenizden aiyrudy kózdeydi. Putinning maqsaty Pridnestroviege deyin jetip, Moldovamen shekara ashu jәne NATO-gha qarsy kýsh retinde atalmysh aimaqty әskery baza qúru deydi ol. Putin Ukraina soghysy arqyly: "Qyrymdy NATO Reseydiki dep moyyndauy tiyis degen logikamen әreket etude, alayda NATO ony moyyndamaydy jәne sanksiyalardy almaydy", - deydi sarapshy.

Álemde Reseyding әreketinen janarmay jәne astyq tapshylyghy artyp, kóptegen elderde tolqular boluda. Búl óz kezeginde Reseyden sanksiyany әlsiretuge degen úrandardy kóbeyteru anyq. Resey ony jaqsy týsinip, Ukraina porttaryn bloktaudy toqtatpaydy deydi maman.

Ekinshi ssenariy boyynsha Resey әskerining Donbassty basyp aluy ýlken adamy jәne tehnikalyq shyghynmen ayaqtalady. Ukraina әskeri Batystyq qarumen óz aumaghyn qaytara bastaydy. 24 aqpangha deyingi aimaqty qaytaryp aluy mýmkin. Alayda ary qaray jylju pozisiyasy men qorghanysyn kýsheytken separatister men Resey qorghanysyn búzyp ótuge jetpeydi. Sondyqtan 24 aqpangha deyingi aumaqty qaytarghan son, Resey men Ukraina kelissózge otyrady.

Ýshinshi ssenariy Ukraina barlyq aumaghyn qaytaryp alady. Batys Resey әskerining ruhy tómen ekenin jaqsy biledi jәne Reseyding ekonomikalyq әlsireui kýsheygen sәtte, Ukrainagha qaru berudi arttyrady. Saldarynan Resey әskerining úrys dalasynda shyghyny artyp, shegine bastaydy. Búl Reseyde Putindi taqtan taydyrugha әkeletin prosessterdi bastauy mýmkin.

Sarapshy dәl osynday ýsh týrli ssenariydi aitady. Mamandardyng basym kópshiligi Putin әskeri aitarlyqtay jeniske jetpese, onda kýzde Reseyde tolqular bolyp, tónkeriske úlasuy mýmkin degen oida.

Ashat Qasenghaliy

Abai.kz

7 pikir

Ýzdik materialdar

Áne, kórding be?

Orys patriotizmi jәne yahta

Esbol Ýsenúly 1502
Qazaqtyng tili

Qazaqtyng tili ólmesin desek...

Kamshat Tasbolatova 1583
Soghysta jýrgen súlular

Maydandaghy Ukraina arulary: Margarita Rivchachenko

Ayjan Temirhan 1751