Últtyq bank sarapshylar qauymdastyghy arasynda jýrgizilgen kezekti makroekonomikalyq saualnamanyng nәtiyjelerin jariyalady. Búl turaly «EGEMEN FINANCE» telegram arnasy jazdy.

Saualnamanyng negizgi parametri:

* Brent markaly múnay baghasy;

* Qazaqstan ekonomikasynyng ósimi;

* Inflyasiya;

* Bazalyq mólsherleme;

* Tauarlar men qyzmetterding eksporty jәne importy;

* Tenge baghamy.

Medianalyq kýtulerge sәikes 2025 jyly Brent markaly múnaydyng baghasy barreline – 75 dollar.

2026 jylgha boljam – 74,0 dollar;

2027 jylgha boljam – 75,0 dollar.

«2025 jәne 2026 jyldargha arnalghan ekonomikalyq ósu boljamdary ózgerissiz qalyp, tiyisinshe 4,7% jәne 4,5%-dy qúraydy. 2027 jyly sarapshylardyng kýtui boyynsha ekonomikalyq ósu qarqyny 4,5% dengeyinde saqtalady», delinedi mәlimdemede.

Al inflyasiyagha qatysty boljam mynaday:

* 2025 jylgha – 6,9%-dan 7,5%-gha deyin;

* 2026 jylgha – 6,0%-dan 6,5%-gha deyin;

* 2027 jyly inflyasiya 5,6% dengeyinde baghalanady.

«Inflyasiyagha qatysty baghalaulardyng ózgeruine sәikes, bazalyq mólsherleme boyynsha kýtuler de qayta qaraldy. 2025 jylgha arnalghan boljamdardyng medianalyq mәnderi 12,5%-ten 14,7%-ke deyin, 2026 jylgha – 10,3%-dan 11,8%-gha deyin týzetildi. 2027 jylgha bazalyq mólsherleme 10,5% dengeyinde boljanady», deydi ÚB.

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