Últtyq bank valutalyq intervensiya jýrgizgen
Keshe tengege shaqqanda AQSh dollarynyng aiyrbas baghamy (USDKZT) Ukrainada soghys bastalghannan beri alghash ret (2022 jyldyng nauryzynan bastap) 500-den asty.
"Búl keshe Resey Federasiyasynyng Ortalyq banki resmy týrde rublidi dollargha shaqqandaghy baghamyn 108 dengeyinde belgilep jatqan jaghdayda bolghany. Eng alandatarlyq jaghday, keshegi tengening rublige shaqqandaghy baghamy, ol 2023 jylghy tamyzdan bastap alghash ret 4,3-4,4-ke deyin nyghaydy, al búghan deyin kross-bagham 5-ten kóp tómendemeytin. Búl, shyn mәninde, naryqqa qatysushylardyng valuta baghamdaryna qatysty konsensusyn tanytady", dep jazady Tengenomika arnasynyng avtory Ghalymjan Aytqaziyn.
Ol naryqqa qatysushylardyng aldynghy tәjiriybesi men logikasyna sýiensek, tengening rublige shaqqandaghy baghamynyng kýrt nyghangy mynanday jaghdaylarda boljanatynyn payymdaydy:
"Eger naryqqa qatysushylar tengening AQSh dollaryna shaqqandaghy baghamy әlsiremeui tiyis dep eseptese, kross-bagham kýrt nyghayady, Resey rubli de AQSh dollaryna shaqqanda qatty әlsiremeydi. Eger Qazaqstan Últtyq banki valutalyq sauda-sattyqtyng retteushisi jәne qatysushysy retinde sheteldik valutalar úsynysyn arttyrsa (yaghni, valutalyq intervensiyalar jýrgizse), onda rubli baghamy AQSh dollaryna shaqqanda kýrt qúldyray jóneledi (tura keshegidey). Aytqanday, keshegi sauda-sattyq qorytyndysy boyynsha KASE birjasynyng valuta seksiyasynda pandemiya bastalghannan beri USD/KZT júby boyynsha 455,4 mln dollar kólemindegi sauda-sattyqtyng rekordtyq kórsetkishi tirkeldi, jalpy ol "anomalidy" bolyp tabylady. Búl kólem aldynghy kýnning kórsetkishinen 2,2 esege artyq".
Onyng aituynsha, osy jaghynan alghanda, biz naryq qatysushylarynyng Resey valutasymen salystyrghanda AQSh dollaryna shaqqanda tenge berik bolady dep ýmittenedi, múny kross-baghamnyng tanytqan minezinen bayqay da alamyz.
"Sondyqtan, Qazaqstan Últtyq banki keshe tengeni qoldau ýshin valutalyq intervensiyalar jýrgizui mýmkin dep boljaymyz, búghan KASE-degi sauda-sattyqtyng rekordtyq kólemi dәlel bola alady. Aytpaqshy, biz búl arada tenge baghamyna qosymsha kvaziymemlekettik sektordyng valutalyq týsimining 50%-yn tengege ainaldyrudy mindetteu talabynyng qoldau bolghanyn joqqa shyghara almaymyz. Al býgin qor birjasyndaghy kelissózder barysynda 1 AQSh dollary 503-ten 508-ge deyin bardy. Búl últtyq valutagha qysym jasalyp jatqanynyn, onyng әli jalghasuda ekenin aighaghy bola alady", dep sózin qorytady ol.
Ayta ketsek, 27 qarashada Resey rubline shaqqanda 1 AQSh dolarynyng baghamy 100-den 120 rublige bir-aq kóterildi. Al búl kezde tengege shaqqandaghy dollar qúnynda qatty ózgeris bolmady. Degenmen býgingi tengege jasalyp jatqan qysym kesheli beri bolyp jatqany belgili boldy.
Abai.kz
