Itjyghys nemese tartysty tranzit jyly
2024 jyldyng basty trendteri turaly…
Ayaqtalghaly jatqan jyldyng últtyng úiysuy ne úiyspauyna, qogham men biylikting bir-birine degen kózqarastyng ong ne teris boluyna tikeley әser etken bes oqighany ataghym keledi.
Jәne de әrbir oqigha qogham men memleketimizdegi basty trendterdi qalyptastyryp otyr.
Birinshiden, ol – býkil eldi derlik jaylaghan, búryn-sondy bop kórmegen topan su. On oblysta bir kezde tótenshe jaghday jariyalanuynyng ózi ne túrady? Qanshama adam zardap shekti?! Qúdaygha shýkir, adam shyghyny bolghan joq. Búl apatqa kinәli tabiyghat emes (jyl sayyn qar jauady, kótkemde ol eriydi), bar kinә ýkimette dep sanaymyn. IYә, birdi-ekili sheneunik jazalandy, alayda sol apattyng sebepteri men saldarynan ýkimet tiyisti qorytyndy shyghardy dep oilamaymyn, óitkeni sol turaly resmy aqparatty osy kýnge deyin estigen joqpyn.
IYә, topan sudyng bir sebebi – ózenderimiz bastau alatyn Resey jaqtyng artyq sudy tómen qaray, yaghny bizding jaqqa shamadan tys kólemde aghyzuynda degen de dolbar bar. Biraq, eki el arasyna syna qaghuy mýmkin bolghan son, ol taqyryp әli de jabuly kýiinde.
Ekinshiden, ol – Almaty oblysy Talghar qalasynda 16 jasar Sherzattyng ólimi. Bir audandaghy tragediya býtkil eldegi basty problemany, yaghny biylik pen qylmystyq toptardyng tonnyng ishki bauynday aralasyp, bite qaynasqanyna taghy da barshamyzdyng kózimiz ashty. Sherzattyng óliminen keyin: «Bәrin baqylauda ústap otyrmyz!» dep, eldi sendirgen polisiya basshylarynyng sózinen keyin Sherzattyng otbasynyng ýiining órtenip ketui, odan song onyng aghasynyng júmbaq jaghdayda ómirden ozuyqúqyq organdarynyng әljuazdyghy men beysharalyghyn ap-anyq kórsetti dep oilaymyn. Shaghyn ghana qaladaghy bir qylmystyng osy kýnge deyin ashylmauy da júrtshylyqtyng ashy-yzasyn tughyzyp otyrghany jәne de onday kónil-kýy elding ózin Ádiletti dep jariyalaghan Jana Qazaqstangha degen senimin arttyra týsirmeytini týsinikti.
Ýshinshiden, aumaghyna bes Fransiya syiyp ketetin, ara qashyqtyghy ýsh myng shaqyrymday Atyrau men Altaydyng arasyndyghy úlan-ghayyr jerdi alyp jatqan memleketimizde birynghay saghat beldeuining engizilui. Ókinishke oray, osy sheshimge qarsy qauym әli de tynyshtalar emes. Al osy sheshimdi qabyldaghan ýkimetting uәjderi әlsiz әri qisynsyzdau. Áleumettik narazylyq auylyna taghy da bir ýlken, kópshiliktin qoldauyn tapqan jaghrafiyalyq, fiyziologiyalyq, moralidyq-psihologiyyalyq, kerek deseniz, qoghamdyq-sayasy sebep qosyldy dep nyq senimmen aitugha bolady.
Tórtinshiden, ol – Qazaqstanda AES salu jónindegi býkilhalyqtyq referendumnyng ong sheshimi. Semey poligonynyng adam aitqysyz zardabyn shegip, tauqymetin tartqan qazaq eli ýshin atomofobiya boluy әbden oryndy dep sanaymyn. Onyng ýstine, kóp jaghdayda ózine, sayasy koniukturagha ghana tiyimdi sheshim qabyldap kelgen biylikke de asa kóp senim joq, óitkeni búghan deyin jalpyhalyqtyq mýddege qarama-qayshy talay oqys ta ospadar sheshimder qabyldanyp keldi. Auzykýigen, ýrip ishedi demekshi, júrt әli de biylikting osynday ýlken bastamalaryna kýdikpen qaraytyny sodan.
Oghan qosa, AES salu bastamasy geosayasy sipatalyp ketkeni de ras. Ukrainagha qarsy soghys ashyp, újymdyq Batystyng sanksiyalary men shekteulerine úshyraghan, әri tehnologiyalyq damuy jaghynan órkeniyet kóshinen keyin qalghan Reseyding osy jobagha aralasu mýmkindigi biraz aghayynnyng qarsylyghyn tughyzyp otyrghany da ras.
Besinshiden ol – aqpan aiynda ýkimetting auysuy men jyl ayaghyna taman últtyq valutamyz – tengening taghy da qúldyrauy. Bir qyzyghy – ýkimettin, dәlirek aitsaq, premierding auysuy el ishinde jәne sarapshylar arasynda sonshalyqty rezonans tughyzghan joq. Ol júrttyng ýkimetting jәne onyng basshysynyng auysuynan kóp nәrse kýtpeytinining belgisi dep oilaymyn. Ekonomikalyq sayasattyng basty baghyttaryn әli de preziydent anyqtap otyrghan sayasy jýiede solay bola bermek.
Últtyq valutanyng baghamy bolsa – kez kelgen últtyq ekonomikanyng ras ahualyn sipattaytyn lakmus qaghazy desek, bizding qaghazymyz boyau jaghynan úyatty bolyp túr!
Bir qyzyghy sol – ayaq asty devalivasiya, tauarlar men tarifterding kýrt ósui, júmyssyzdyqtyng úlghangy sekildi ekonomikalyq, qarjylyq shoktargha kópshilikting eti ýirenip qalghan siyaqty. Onyng bir sebebi – ýkimetting biliksizdigi men jauapsyzdyghy ekenin preziydent te týsingen syqyldy, sonyng bir kórinisi – osy jyly óz jalghasyn tapqan kadrlardyng túraqsyzdyghy, tym jii auysuy: ministrler keledi de, ketedi, olargha súrau salyp jatqan eshkim joq. Óz basym tura Jana Jyl qarsanynda anau-mynau emes, Últtyq ekonomika ministrining mansap merzimi bir jylgha jetpey, ornyn bosatuyn tútas ýkimetting otstavkagha ketuining alghysharty dep týsinemin.
Osydan biraz uaqyt búryn, mәselen, 90-jyldarynyng ayaghy men 2000-jyldardyng basynda tengening kýrt qúnsyzdanuy qoghamnyng naryzylyghyn tughyzyp, ózin oppozisiya sanaytyn partiyalar ashuly mәlimdemeler jasap, shuly aksiyalar ótkizip jatatyn. Býginde onyng biri de joq. Júrt daghdarys aldynda sharasyz ýkimetten de, sayasy kýresting ornyna ózara yrdu-yrdu bop, tek qana bir-birin jamandaumen ainalysatyn oppozisiyadan da týnilgen siyaqty.
2024-jyldyng basty sayasiy-psihologiyalyq bir nәtiyjesi de dәl osy jayt!
Qarap otyrsaq, jogharyda atalghan basty oqighalar men trendterde eski Qazaqstannyng da, Jana Qazaqstannyng da sipattary bar. Yaghni, tranzit jaghdayyndaghy eki jýie bir-birimen әli de tartysyp jatyr.
Ázirshe itjyghys.
Tartysty jyldyng basty qorytyndysy da sol bolar...
Ámirjan Qosan
Maqala sureti: Qazaqstan.tv saytynan alyndy.
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