Reseyge qatysty Ukrainagha qarsy soghys pen Batys sanksiyalarynyng el túrmysyna әserin baghalaytyn «jabyq» ekonomikalyq esep pen boljam jasaldy. Resey ekonomikasynyng qazirgi jaghdayy men bolashaghy turaly qúpiya qújat Reseylik sayasatkerlerding optimistik jariya mәlimdemelerine qarama-qayshy keledi.

Bayandamada negizgi salalarda óndiristing kýrt qúldyrauy men «midyn» (myqty mamandar) syrtqa aghylu prosesi bastalghany kórsetilgen. Bloomberg basylymy: «Batystyng sanksiyalary kýshine engendikten Resey Federasiyasy úzaq jәne tereng resessiyagha tap boluy mýmkin. Elding ekonomikasy jyldar boyy arqa sýiep kelgen salalar da tәuekelge úshyraydy», - dep jazady.

Agenttik búl bayandama RF preziydenti Putinning Ukrainagha basyp kiru turaly sheshimine baylanysty Reseyding ekonomikalyq oqshaulanuynyng shynayy әserin baghalaugha tyrysqan sheneunikter men sarapshylardyng birneshe ailyq júmysynyng nәtiyjesi ekenin atap ótti. Qújat 30 tamyzda joghary lauazymdy túlghalardyng jabyq otyrysynda tanystyryldy.

Bayandamada úsynylghan ýsh ssenariyding ekeui resessiyanyng 2023 jyly ýdey týsetinin jәne ekonomikanyng soghysqa deyingi dengeyge tek onjyldyqtyng sonynda nemese odan keyin ghana oralatynyn kórsetedi. Mamandardyng boljamy boyynsha, kelesi jyly Resey ekonomikasy 2021 jylghy dengeyden 8,3%-gha tómendeydi, al «stress» ssenariyi 2024 jyly eng tómengi dengeydi belgileydi. Búl degeniniz 2021 jylghy dengeyden 11,9 %-gha tómen kórsetkish degen sóz.

Barlyq ssenariyler sanksiyalyq qysymnyng kýsheyetinin boljaydy. Esepte Europanyng Resey múnayy men gazynan bas tartuy Kremliding óz naryghyn qamtamasyz etu qabiletine de núqsan keltirui mýmkin ekenin atap kórsetti.

Búghan qosa, esepte 2025 jylgha qaray 200 000 IT-mamandarynyng elden ketui mýmkin ekendigi aitylghan.

Ayta keteyik, Reseyding memlekettik sheneunikteri sanksiyalardyng soqqysy olar qoryqqanynan az boldy dep aitudy jalghastyruda. Resey ýkimetine әlemde ekonomikalyq daghdarys oryn alghan jaghdayda, Resey eksporttyng azangy tolqynyna tap boluy mýmkin ekeni eskertildi. Yaghni, Resey ónimderine súranys joghalady. Búl rubliding qúldyrauyn jәne inflyasiyanyng ósuin tudyruy mýmkin.

Import jaghynan «negizgi qysqa merzimdi tәuekel importtyq shiykizat pen jinaqtauyshtardyng tapshylyghyna baylanysty óndiristing toqtap qaluy bolyp tabylady». Úzaq merzimdi perspektivada importtyq jabdyqty jóndeu mýmkin emestigi ósimdi birjola shekteui mýmkin.

Eske sala keteyik, Putin OPEK-ti jenu turaly sheshim qabyldaghannan keyin, ol ýlken shyghyngha úshyrap, Tayau Shyghys memleketterin ashulandyrdy. Endi olar shyn mәninde Kremlige jaghdaydy kim basqaratynyn kórsetip jatyr. Artyqshylyqty kórsetuding ekinshi әreketi - Europanyng gaz bopsasy boldy. Áriyne, búl Reseydi ýlken qarjylyq shyghyndargha әkeldi.

Kerimsal Júbatqanov

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