Esep Týgelov. Qazaqstandaghy hristiandar haqynda
Jaqynda ghana ótken halyq sanaghynyng derekterine sýienetin bolsaq, Qazaqstan azamattarynyng 4190128-i nemese 26,2 payyzy ózderin «hristiandarmyz» dep esepteytinderin mәlimdepti. Ókinishke oray, olardyng qaysysy pravoslav, qaysysy katolik ne protestant ekenin ajyratu qiyngha soghyp otyr.
Mysaly, býgingi kýni elimizdegi orystardyng sany 3793764 adamdy nemese halyqtyng 23,7 payyzyn qúraydy. Búlardyng qataryna 333031 ukraindar (2,1 payyz) men 66476 belorustardy (0,7 payyz) qosugha bolady. Osy ýsh slavyandyq halyqtyng sanyn qossaq, olar 4193271 adam bolady nemese respublika halqynyng 26,5 payyzyn qúraydy eken.
Búlargha týbi hristian bolyp sanalatyn 178409 nemisterdi (1,1 payyz), 34057 polyaktardy (0,2 payyz), 100385 kәristerding (0,6 payyz) biraz bóligin qosugha bolady. Shamalasaq, elimizdegi hristiandardyng sany 4506122 adamgha deyin nemese 28,4 payyzgha deyin jetui mýmkin.
Yaghny tegi hristian úlystardyng 2,2 payyzy (356 myng adam) iya basqa dinge engen, iya ózderin ateistermiz dep otyr. Sanaqtyng deregine sensek, jalpy basqa dindegiler men atesiyterding sany sany 480616 adamdy nemese 3 payyzdy qúraydy eken!
Qazaqstannyng aimaqtaryndaghy hristiandardyng ýlesi jaghynan olardyng eng kóp shoghyrlanghan jerleri mynalar: Soltýstik Qazaqstan, Qostanay, Kereku, Qaraghandy, Aqmola, Shyghys Qazaqstan oblystary.
Jaqynda ghana ótken halyq sanaghynyng derekterine sýienetin bolsaq, Qazaqstan azamattarynyng 4190128-i nemese 26,2 payyzy ózderin «hristiandarmyz» dep esepteytinderin mәlimdepti. Ókinishke oray, olardyng qaysysy pravoslav, qaysysy katolik ne protestant ekenin ajyratu qiyngha soghyp otyr.
Mysaly, býgingi kýni elimizdegi orystardyng sany 3793764 adamdy nemese halyqtyng 23,7 payyzyn qúraydy. Búlardyng qataryna 333031 ukraindar (2,1 payyz) men 66476 belorustardy (0,7 payyz) qosugha bolady. Osy ýsh slavyandyq halyqtyng sanyn qossaq, olar 4193271 adam bolady nemese respublika halqynyng 26,5 payyzyn qúraydy eken.
Búlargha týbi hristian bolyp sanalatyn 178409 nemisterdi (1,1 payyz), 34057 polyaktardy (0,2 payyz), 100385 kәristerding (0,6 payyz) biraz bóligin qosugha bolady. Shamalasaq, elimizdegi hristiandardyng sany 4506122 adamgha deyin nemese 28,4 payyzgha deyin jetui mýmkin.
Yaghny tegi hristian úlystardyng 2,2 payyzy (356 myng adam) iya basqa dinge engen, iya ózderin ateistermiz dep otyr. Sanaqtyng deregine sensek, jalpy basqa dindegiler men atesiyterding sany sany 480616 adamdy nemese 3 payyzdy qúraydy eken!
Qazaqstannyng aimaqtaryndaghy hristiandardyng ýlesi jaghynan olardyng eng kóp shoghyrlanghan jerleri mynalar: Soltýstik Qazaqstan, Qostanay, Kereku, Qaraghandy, Aqmola, Shyghys Qazaqstan oblystary.
|
Barlyq halyq |
Hristiandar |
Salmaq ýlesi |
|
Qazaqstan Respublikasy |
16009597 |
4190128 |
26,2 |
|
Aqmola |
737495 |
326864 |
44,3 |
|
Aqtóbe |
757768 |
130138 |
17,2 |
|
Almaty |
1807894 |
313898 |
17,4 |
|
Atyrau |
510377 |
36192 |
7,1 |
|
Batys Qazaqstan |
598880 |
148137 |
24,7 |
|
Jambyl |
1022129 |
137672 |
13,5 |
|
Karaghandy |
1341700 |
601315 |
44,8 |
|
Qostanay |
885570 |
473306 |
53,4 |
|
Qyzylorda |
678794 |
19007 |
2,8 |
|
Manghystau |
485392 |
44122 |
9,1 |
|
Ontýstik Qazaqstan |
2469357 |
150365 |
6,1 |
|
Kereku |
742475 |
337113 |
45,4 |
|
Soltýstik Qazaqstan |
596535 |
351339 |
58,9 |
|
Shyghys Qazaqstan |
1396593 |
520177 |
37,2 |
|
Astana q.ә. |
613006 |
142917 |
23,3 |
|
Almaty q.ә. |
1365632 |
457566 |
33,5 |
|
Aldaghy jyldary Qazaqstandaghy hristiandardyng bolashaghy ne bolmaq? Jogharyda atalghan etnikalyq toptardyng sany jyl sayyn kemip otyr. Mәselen, 1999 jylghy últtyq sanaq derekterimen salystyrghanda on jyldyng ishinde elimizdegi orystardyng sany 686911 adamgha nemese 15,3 payyzgha, ukraindar - 214034 nemese 39,1 payyzgha, belorustar - 45448 nemese 40,6 payyzgha, nemister - 175053 nemese 49,5 payyzgha, polyaktar - 13245 nemese 28 payyzgha kemigen!
Eger osy ýrdister saqtalatyn bolsa, aldaghy on jylda hristiandardyng sany bylay bolyp ózgeredi:
Etnostar |
2009 jylghy sany |
Kemu boljamy payyz |
2019 jylghy boljamdyq sany |
2029 jylghy boljamdyq sany |
Orystar |
3793764 |
15 |
3223764 |
2740199 |
Ukraindar |
333031 |
39 |
203148 |
123920 |
Belorustar |
66476 |
40 |
39885 |
23950 |
Nemister |
178409 |
49 |
90098 |
45000 |
Polyaktar |
34057 |
28 |
24521 |
16000 |
Barlyghy |
4405737 |
|
3581416 |
2949069 |
Eger dәl býgingi etnodemografiyalyq ýrdister (halyqtardyng orta jasynyng úlghangy, bala tuudyng azangy, basqa elderge kóshu t.b.) on jyl boyy saqtalyp otyrsa, Qazaqstandaghy hristiantekti halyqtardyng sany 2019 jyly 3,5 million adamgha deyin kemiydi. Búny «tabighi-evolusiyalyq boljam» deuge bolady. Al eger eldegi ekonomikalyq jaghday qiyndasa, oghan etnosaralyq qaqtyghystar siyaqty qúbylystar qosylsa, olardyng sany kýrt kemui de yqtimal. Búny «daghdarysty-shiyelenistik boljam» deuge bolar. Ondaydan qúdaydyng ózi saqtasyn deyik...
«Tabighi-evolusiyalyq boljamgha» salsaq, on jyldan keyin Qazaqstan halqynyng sany 7-8 payyzgha artyp shamamen 17 million 500 myng adamdy qúrauy mýmkin. Al 2029 jyly Qazaqstan azamattarynyng sany 19 milliongha jetedi degen ýmit bar. Eger osy boljamymyz dúrys bolyp shyghatyn bolsa, Qazaqstandaghy etnodemografiyalyq jәne konfessiyalyq jaghday tómendegidey bolmaq:
Etnostar |
2019 jylghy boljamdyq sany |
2019 jylghy Qazaqstandaghy ýles salmaghy |
2029 jylghy boljamdyq sany |
2029 jylghy Qazaqstandaghy ýles salmaghy |
Orystar |
3223764 |
18,4 |
2740199 |
14,1 |
Ukraindar |
203148 |
1,2 |
123920 |
0,6 |
Belorustar |
39885 |
0,2 |
23950 |
0,1 |
Nemister |
90098 |
0,5 |
45000 |
0,2 |
Polyaktar |
24521 |
0,1 |
16000 |
0,08 |
Barlyghy |
3581416 |
20,4 |
2949069 |
15,5 |
Qansha degenmen búl boljamdardyng barlyghy da býgingi etnodemografiyalyq tendensiyalargha negizdelip otyr. Keybir sarapshylardyng payymdauynsha, Qazaqstandaghy orystardyng sany aldaghy on jylda 10-12 payyzgha, al kelesi onjyldyqta 13-14 payyzgha deyin kemiydi degen boljamdar da joq emes. Olardyng payymdary dúrys bolatyn bolsa, onda 2019 jyly hristiandardyng sany 3 million, al 2029 jyly nebary 2,3-2,4 millionnan aspaydy eken.
Elimizdegi konfessiyalyq, etnodemografiyalyq jaghdaydyng qalay ózgeretinin aldaghy uaqyt kórsetedi dep oilaymyz. Ne bolsa da aman bolayyq, abay bolayyq!
«Abay-aqparat»