Senbi, 23 Qarasha 2024
Janalyqtar 2823 0 pikir 11 Mamyr, 2011 saghat 03:42

Qymbat Qalauova. 2050 jyly Qazaqstan halqy 20 milliongha jete me?

Songhy jyldary elimizding sheneunikteri men demograftary 2030 jylgha deyin elimizding halqy 20 million adamgha deyin jetui qajet degen әngimeni aityp jýr. Áriyne, «jaqsy sóz - jarym yrys». Alayda shyn mәninde osynday kórsetkishke jete alamyz ba? Túl turaly sheteldik sarapshylar ne deydi eken?

Jalpy alghanda, The Economist jurnalynyng mәlimetine senetin bolsaq, 2050 jyly әlemdegi halyq sany jóninen eng iri elge Ýndistan ainalatyn kórinedi. Býgingi әlemdik birinshilikti bastap kele jatqan Qytay ekinshi oryngha yghysady eken. Sóitip qyryq jyldan keyin Ýndistannyng halqy 1,614 mln. adamgha jetse, alpauyt Qytaydyng halqy  - 1,417 mln. adamgha jetip shekteledi.

2050 jyly halyq sany jaghynan ýshinshi oryngha Amerika Qúrama Shtattary shyghady. Negizinen Latyn Amerikasy men Aziya-Afrika etnostarynyng ósimi arqasynda búl elding túrghyndarynyng sany 404 million adamgha jetedi-mys. Esesine aldaghy jyldary Resey halqynyng sany jyldan jylgha kemy beredi dep otyr sarapshylar. 2050 jyly Resey túrghyndarynyng sany býgingi 142 million adamnan 116 milliongha deyin kemiydi eken.

 

2050 jyly halqy 100 millionnan asatyn ne oghan jaqyndaytyn memleketter

(Boljam)

 

mln. adam

Songhy jyldary elimizding sheneunikteri men demograftary 2030 jylgha deyin elimizding halqy 20 million adamgha deyin jetui qajet degen әngimeni aityp jýr. Áriyne, «jaqsy sóz - jarym yrys». Alayda shyn mәninde osynday kórsetkishke jete alamyz ba? Túl turaly sheteldik sarapshylar ne deydi eken?

Jalpy alghanda, The Economist jurnalynyng mәlimetine senetin bolsaq, 2050 jyly әlemdegi halyq sany jóninen eng iri elge Ýndistan ainalatyn kórinedi. Býgingi әlemdik birinshilikti bastap kele jatqan Qytay ekinshi oryngha yghysady eken. Sóitip qyryq jyldan keyin Ýndistannyng halqy 1,614 mln. adamgha jetse, alpauyt Qytaydyng halqy  - 1,417 mln. adamgha jetip shekteledi.

2050 jyly halyq sany jaghynan ýshinshi oryngha Amerika Qúrama Shtattary shyghady. Negizinen Latyn Amerikasy men Aziya-Afrika etnostarynyng ósimi arqasynda búl elding túrghyndarynyng sany 404 million adamgha jetedi-mys. Esesine aldaghy jyldary Resey halqynyng sany jyldan jylgha kemy beredi dep otyr sarapshylar. 2050 jyly Resey túrghyndarynyng sany býgingi 142 million adamnan 116 milliongha deyin kemiydi eken.

 

2050 jyly halqy 100 millionnan asatyn ne oghan jaqyndaytyn memleketter

(Boljam)

 

mln. adam

1

Ýndistan

1614

2

Qytay

1417

3

AQSh

404

4

Pәkstan

335

5

Niygeriya

289

6

Indoneziya

288

7

Bangladesh

222

8

Braziliya

219

9

Efiopiya

174

10

Kongo

148

11

Fillippin araldary

146

12

Egiypet

130

13

Meksika

129

14

Resey

116

15

Vietnam

112

16

Tanzaniya

109

17

Japoniya

102

18

Iran

97

19

Týrkiya

97

20

Uganda

91

Al TMD elderine keletin bolsaq, aldaghy qyryq jylda búl memleketterdi әlemdegi demografiyalyq ýderister ainalyp ótpeytin kórinedi. BÚÚ mamandarynyng esepterine sensek, TMD-gha kiretin elderding túrghyndary aldaghy jyldary kemiytin bolady. Negizgi ósim tek Orta Aziya aimaghyndaghy memleketterde bayqalatyn bolady deydi sarapshylar.

Osy sarapshylardyng derekterine sýienetin bolsaq, 2050 jyly Qazaqstannyng halqy shamamen 18 million adamgha jaqyndaydy. Negizgi ósimdi Ózbekstan beretin bolady. Búl elding halqy 40 jyldan keyin 36 million adamnan asady dep boljaydy әlemdik demograftar.

2025 jәne 2050 jyldardaghy halyq sany

Memleket

2025 j.

2050 j.

Ázirbayjan

10128

10579

Armeniya

3181

3018

Belorussiya

8851

7275

Gruziya

3888

3267

Qazaqstan

17025

17848

Qyrghyzstan

6378

6882

Latviya

2101

1854

Litva

2985

2579

Moldova

3291

2734

Resey

132345

116097

Tәjikstan

9075

11111

Týrikmenstan

6072

6796

Ózbekstan

32715

36439

Ukraina

41617

35026

Estoniya

1321

1233

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