Iran Islam tónkerisine biyl 30 jyl toldy. Sodan shyghar, ótken júmada ótken preziydent saylauyn kýlli dýnie demin ishine tarta kóz tikti. Betbúrystyng basy dep kýtti. Saylau turaly ghalamdyq aqparat qúraldaryndaghy habar-oshardy sanap bolmaysyn...

Iran Islam tónkerisine biyl 30 jyl toldy. Sodan shyghar, ótken júmada ótken preziydent saylauyn kýlli dýnie demin ishine tarta kóz tikti. Betbúrystyng basy dep kýtti. Saylau turaly ghalamdyq aqparat qúraldaryndaghy habar-oshardy sanap bolmaysyn...

Sebebi Tehrannyng qazirgi Aq ýimen endigi jerdegi baylanysy da saylaudaghy basty әngimening biri edi. Óitkeni soghystan keyingi Iraqtaghy astan-kesteng tirshilik pen túraqsyzdyq, Aughanstan jәne aughan elinen góri mәn-manyzy arta týsken Pәkistandaghy sayasy shiyelenis ýdey týsude. Mine, osynday ottyng ortasynda túrghan Iran ózining ainalasyna qalay qaraydy? Saylau búghan da jauap izdedi. Onyng ýstine, Irannyng yadrolyq úmtylysy men osy baghyttaghy qadamy basqa da jayttarmen astasqandyqtan, memleket basshysyn tandau jer-jahandy baurap aldy.
Iran ózi somdaghan sayasy mәdeniyetimen naghyz Shyghystyng bet-beynesin tanytsa da, parsy júrtynyng basqadan tabylmaytyn qasiyeti bar. Osy erekshelik ghasyrlar boyy búl elding sayasatyn da júmbaq qyldy. Aytalyq, Amerikanyng Tayau Shyghystaghy ajyramas dosy Iran 1979 jylghy Islam tónkerisinen keyin bir sәtte qas dúshpangha ainalyp shygha keldi. Revolusiyadan sәl búryn ghana Tehrangha barghan AQSh Preziydenti Jimmy Karter men 1953 jylghy Irandaghy býlikti úiymdastyrushy CIA (Ortalyq barlau basqarmasy) joyqyn tónkeristing iyisin de sezbey ketipti. Osylaysha, qaruly kóterilis «Tónkeris saya­saty» taqyrybyn zerttep jýrgen oqymystylardyng ózin tyghyryqqa tiredi. Tipti búghan deyin naghyz zayyrly dep jýrgen әielderding basqa oramal tartyp, tónkeriske belsene kirisui, sonday-aq sayasy bolmysymen barshagha belgili kommunisterding de jana jýieni qoldap-quattaghanyn bastapqyda eshkim týsindire almady. Ahmadiynejadtyng da kýtpegen jerden saylaudyng alghashqy kezeninde-aq aiqyn basymdyqpen jeniske jetui dýniyejýzilik pikirdi san-saqqa jýgirtti. Dúrysy, abdyratyp tastady.

Islam tónkerisin qoldaghan zayyrlylar men kommunister men Ahmadiynejadty saylaghan irandyqtardyng oiy bir. Kózqarasy men túrpaty sanqily túrghyndar islamy shiyt pen onyng ruhany әri sayasy jetekshisi Ayatolla Homeyniyding irandyq bitim-bolmysty qalay qorghaytynyna sense, býginde Ahmadiynejadqa da solay ilanady.  Ghasyrlar boyy aughan, monghol, arab, týrik, orys jәne aghylshyn siyaqty bótenderding biyleuinde bolghan әri týrli etnikalyq toptardan qúralghan iran halqy ózining «últtyq mәdeniyeti» arqasynda bolmysyn joghaltqan joq. Kerisinshe, biyleushilerding ózin sinistirip (assimilyasiya) jiberdi. Sol sebepti halyqtyng sayasatta «irandyq» jәne «qauipsizdik» degen úghymdargha basa mәn beredi. Osy eki úghym bir-birimen qabysyp, irandyq sayasat qaghidasyn dýniyege әkeldi. Sonau Sasaniyler zamanynda parsy júrtynda zәrdýsht (zoroastrizm) senimi arqyly «irandyq» úran qalyptasty. Osy dәstýr islammen birge Ismail shah jәne onyng tóniregindegi qyzylbastardyng múryndyq boluymen shiyzm Irannyng resmy dini retinde jariya etilgen song jana sipat aldy. Sóitip, Irandaghy islam dini eshbir músylman elindegidey sayasy sipat alghan joq. Shiyzm óz kezeginde, Iran bolmysynyng ózegine ainaldy.

Saylau qayda bastaydy?

Búl jolghy saylau da betbúrys ispettes. Tórt ýmitker qatysqan dauys beru kezinde Islam tónkerisining tanymal túlghalary Rafsanjani, Hatamy jәne Músauy Ahmadiynejadqa qarsy odaqtas retinde birikti. Biraq halyq atalghan sayasatkerler sekildi atoylap túrmasa da, haqynda qayshylyqty pikir aitylatyn Mahmúdty jón kórdi. Osynyng ózi Iranda tónkeris qaharmandarynyng ysyryluyn, yaghny jana dәuirding bastalghanyn bayqatqanday. Múndaghy júrt kәdimgi orystar men qytaylar siyaqty avtoritarlyq jýieni hosh kóredi. Múhammed Hatamy Preziydent bolyp túrghanda, bir jerde sóz sóilegen. Irannyng óz tarihynda ylghy әmirshil әri qatal biylikti qoldaghanyn aitqan. Yaghny halyqqa tizesin batyrghan shah rejiymin qatandyghy odan kem týspeytin islam biyligine almastyrghanyn dәlel etip keltirgen. Toqeteri - Iran Ahmadiynejad arqyly ózine layyq memleket basshysyn tapty. Búl rette, ony Reseyding әmirshil-әkimshil Putiynimen salystyrghan abzal.  Bolashaqta ótkenge kóz tastap, Iran saya­saty tarazygha týsip jatsa, tónkeristing tanymal kóshbasshylary úmytylyp, Homeyniyden song auyzgha alynar alghashqy esim Ahmadiynejad bolar, bәlkim. Irandyqtardyng qazirgi preziydentti tandauynyng taghy bir sebebi - memleketting qauipsizdigin qamtamasyz ete alady degen senim. Ámirshildikti qúp kóretin Iran halqy taytalastan qaymyqpaugha da erek­she mәn beredi. Halyq ýshin Irannyng yadrolyq quatty kýshke ainaluy eng basty sayasy mәsele sekildi. Búqaragha salsaq, Ahmadiynejad atom sayasatyn AQSh pen ózge dýniyening pikirine qaramastan, tabysty týrde jýrgize bildi.
Endi bir mәselening basy ashyq. Osy saylaudan song eshqanday kýsh Irannyng yadrolyq úmtylysyn tejey almaydy. Álemdik baspasóz Tehrandaghy әlem-jәlem, ýsti-basy jartylay ashyq qyz-kelinshekterdi menzep, eldegi ózgeris jóninde habar taratyp jatqanda, ýmitker Mir Húseyn Músauy halyq toly alanda Ahmadiynejadqa syn jaudyrdy.

Músauiyding әieli Zәhra Rahnuaradty asqaqtatyp, ony Irannyng «Miysheli Obamasy» dep jariyalap jiberdi. Biraq dauys beru nәtiyjesi, ashy bolsa da, shyndyqtyng betin ashty. Saylauda ne әielderdin, ne sany az úlystardyng dausy Músauiyding sandyghyna týspedi.
Ahmadiynejad ózin qoldaghan saylaushyny qanaghattandyru jolynda ekinshi kezende tabandy syrtqy sayasatyn jalghastyrady. Sonday-aq eldegi ekonomikalyq jәne әleumettik týiinderdi sheshu ýshin birqatar ózgerister jasaugha mәjbýr. Iran jetildiretin yadrolyq quaty arqyly sol aimaqta jәne әlemde qauipting bir mýiisi bolyp qabyldanatyndyqtan,  syrtqy sayasatta sarabdal boluy qajet. Ras, býgingi Iran rejim eksporttaytyn nemese kórshileri men arab dýniyesin ýreylendiretindey sayasy ústanymnan tym alshaq. Tehrannyng Iraqqa qatysty salmaqty da baysaldy sayasaty - osynyng aighaghy. Ahmadiynejad byltyr aragha 30 jyl salyp, Baghdatqa barghan Irannyng túnghysh basshysy atandy. Eldegi dualy auyzdar ónirde Iran, Týrkiya, Iraq jәne Siriyanyng qatysuymen ózara yntymaqtastyq tetigin qalyptastyru qajettigin aityp jýr. Búl memleketter әsirese energetika salasynda ortaq ústanymdy aiqyndauy tiyis ekendigi algha tartyluda. Ahmadiynejad saylau nauqany barysynda AQSh-pen barys-kelis ornatu jayyna toqtaldy. Bayqalyp túrghanday, Preziydent yadrolyq quat jobasyna eshkimning kedergi bolmauyn shart qylyp, Amerikamen baylanysqa esik ashady. Múnday jaghdayda Týrkiya Nabukko siyaqty energetikalyq jobalardy nazarda ústap, Iranmen sayasy jәne ekonomikalyq qarym-qatynasyn damytyp, eng bastysy, Tehran men Vashington arasyndaghy ózining dәnekerlik qyzmetin jandandyra alady.

Doktor Vedat Gýrbýz, Zaman gazeti (Týrkiya), 15 mausym 2009 jyl

«Jas qazaq» gazeti, №24, 19.06.2009