Reseyding 1200 tankisi: Ukraina ne isteydi?
Resey Ukrainagha әne-mine basyp kirui mýmkin. Batystyq basylymdar solay deydi. Tipti, qantar aiynyng sonynda 175 myng әskermen soghys ashuy mýmkin degendi de әskery barlaushylargha sýiene otyryp aituda. Al osy sәtte Resey Ukraina shekarasynyng manyna shamamen 1200 tank shoghyrlandyrdy. Búl Ukrainada resmy derek boyynsha bar tankterden 300-ge kóp degen sóz.
Soghys bastalsa, sózsiz Resey shabuyl jasaushy, al Ukraina qorghanushy pozisiyada bolmaq. Alayda sarapshylar tankting kóptigi, kýshting basymdyghyn nemese úrystyng jenispen ayaqtalatynyn bildirmeydi deydi. Áskery sarapshylar soghys bastalsa úrys qimyldary qalay órbui mýmkin ekendigin jazyp shyqty.
Resey de, Ukraina әskeri de kenestik doktrinany ústanady. Ekeui de qorghanysta belsendi. Yaghni, ózderin qorghaghan kezde jaudyng tepe-tendigin búzu ýshin shabuyldar men qarsy shabuyldardy josparlaydy. «Qorghanysqa qoyylatyn negizgi talaptar túraqtylyq pen belsendilik bolyp tabylady», - dep atap ótti әskery sarapshylar Lester Grau men Charliz Bartlz.
Eki әskerding de taktikasy shabuyl operasiyalar úiymdastyruda ortalyqqa artilleriyany ornalastyru arqyly qimyldaydy. Al jayau әsker men tankterding indetteri artilleriya pozisiyany atqylap, shegingen әskerdi joi bolyp tabyldy.
«Ukraina әskeri óz qalalaryn qorghap qalu ýshin aldynghy sheptegi bataliondar jaqsy jasyryna bilu kerek», - deydi Grau men Bartlz. Qyrymdy Resey otarlap alghan sәtten bastap, Ukraina әskeri jeti jyl boyy sol taktikany ústanuda. Naqtylap aitqanda olar jýzdegen shaqyrymgha sozylatyn transheylerdi qazyp, jayau әsker men tehnikagha arnalghan bunkerlerdi әzirlegen.
Biraq belsendi qorghanys tankterding okoptardan shyghyp, basqynshylargha qarsy tez arada soqqy bere alu mýmkindigi boluy tiyis. «Qarsy shabuyldar qauipsizdik aimaghynyng qorghanysyn kýsheytedi», - dep jazady Grau men Bartles.
Sonymen birge, Ukraina armiyasy Resey armiyasynyng Ukraina kýshterin odan әri joi ýshin oqshaulau әreketining jolyn kesui kerek. «Manevrlik kýshter qauipti aimaqta shabuyldardy boldyrmaugha, qarsylastyng negizgi shabuyldyng osi boyymen búzyp ótuine jol bermeuge, qaptaldan ótu qaupin joygha jәne kerisinshe, qarsylastyng shepterin ydyratugha kýsh saluy tiyis», - deydi sarapshylar.
«Resey basyp kiru ýshin 1200 tank, al Ukraina qorghanu ýshin 900 tankti qoldanuy mýmkin. Alayda Reseyding 1200 tanki úrys dalasynda shyrpysha órtenui mýmkin. Sebebi Ukraina әskeri Djevelinderdi qoldanugha niyetti, al ol degenimiz bir oqpen bir tankti joiy degen sóz. Sondyqtan da Resey úrysta tank nemese basqa brondy tehnika qoldanudan qorqatyny anyq», - deydi sarapshylar.
Ukraina әskerining taghy bir artyqshylyghy olardyng ornalasuynda bolyp túr. Resey tankteri shabuylgha shyghu ýshin ashyq alandarmen yaky joldarmen qozghalugha mәjbýr, al búl aralyqta Ukraina sarbazdary tankke qarsy zymyran keshenderi jәne basqa da qarulardy qoldanyp, jau әskerining tehnikasyn joi mýmkindigine ie deydi olar.
Vashingtondaghy Atlantikalyq kenesting sarapshysy Dayan Frensisting pikirinshe, Ukraina soghysta Reseyding 1200 tankisin tolyq joymasa, onda jaghday Donbass әuejayyndaghyday jenilispen ayaqtaluy mýmkin. Sebebi Donbass әuejayyn úzaq uaqyt tabandylyqpen qorghay bilgen Ukraina sarbazdary, aqyry Resey tankteri kirgende sheginuge mәjbýr bolghan edi.
Degenmen sarapshylar soghystyng boluy ekitalay degen oida. Sebebi Putin men Bayden kezdesuinde Kremli ózine ekonomikalyq auyr soqqy bolatynyn naqty sezdi deydi Batystyq mamandar.
Ashat Qasenghaliy
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