2024 jyldyng birinshi toqsanynda, eger bәri biz oilaghanday bolsa, Qazaqstan halqynyng sany 20 million mejesin baghyndyrmaq. Qazir oghan 200 mynday jetpey túr. Jәne sol jyly aqsha boyynsha biz 60/40 pariytetine qol jetkizemiz dep topshylaugha bolady - yaghny halyq jinaghy jalpy qorjynda 40% ýleske ie bolady. Ol qalay bolmaq?

Jalpy kartinany týsindire keteyin.

Qazir Qazaqstan memleketinde 127,4 milliard dollar bar. Onyng ishinde, Últtyq qorda 59,2 milliard dollar, taza halyqaralyq rezervte 33,5 milliard dollar, erkin ainalymdaghy valutada 15,5 milliard dollar, altynda 19,9 milliard dollar jatyr.

Al halyqta 73,1 milliard dollar bar. Onyng 35 milliardy zeynetaqy qorynda, 38,1 milliard dollary bank depoziyterinde qordalanghan. Bir eskeretini, halyq jinaqtary memleket jinaghyna qaraghanda tez ósip keledi. Ol ishki túraqtylyqqa óte jaqsy әser beretin bolady. Al iydealdy elde halyqtyng aqshasy memleket qarjysynan kóp boluy tiyis. Biz soghan bara jatyrmyz.

Qazir, halyq pen memleketti qosqanda bizde 200 milliard dollar bar. Bar baylyghymyz osy. Salystyrmaly týrde alghanda, búl jaman emes. Biz әriyne, bay memleket emespiz. Ortanqol jәne kóshten qalmadyq dep aitugha bolady.

Bir quanarlyghy, siz ben bizding elimizde bәri jaqsy bolady. S&P 2026 jylgha deyin, jyl sayyn ekonomikamyz 4% ósip otyrady degen boljamyn naqtylady. Ol Teniz kenishining óz quatyn úlghaytatynyna baylanysty. Dәl osy kezde, BÚÚ 2026 jylgha deyin múnaygha degen súranys 23%-gha kóbeyedi dep boljap otyr. Múnaydy kóbirek óndiremiz jәne ony layyqty baghagha sata alamyz.

2030 jyly Manghystauda gidrogen (jasyl sutegi) óndirip, ony Euroodaqqa satuy tiyis Sveving Group basshysy Volifgang Krop 50 milliard dollar investisiyasyn jinap ýlgerdi. Jәne jobalau júmystaryn ayaqtap, barlau fazasyna kiristi. Sol sebepti, Germaniyanyng federaldy Preziydenti Frank-Valiter Shtaynmayer Qazaqstan basshysy Qasym-Jomart Toqaevpen kezdeskennen keyin, ýkimetaralyq delegasiyagha Volifgang Kropty da engizgen bolatyn. Krop Manghystauda Qazaqstan Premieri Álihan Smayylovty kýtip alyp, ritualdy knopka basqyzdy. Barlau kelesi jyly bitedi, sonymen Hyrasia One jobasynyng qúrylysy bastalady.

Investorlargha ghana senip, ishki otandyq kәsipkerlikti úmyt qaldyru ýlken qatelik bolar edi. Búl rette bar ýmit - Ýkimet bastaghan demonopolizasiyagha artylyp otyr. Kezinde Otbasygha jaqyn toptar býtindey bir salalardy (qant, múnay-gaz, kómir) esh bәsekeles kelmeytindey qylyp buyp tastaghan bolatyn. Ol otandyq biznesti taza degradasiyagha úshyratty. Eger demonopolizasiya qarqyndy jәne dúrys baghytta jýretin bolsa, biz onyng naqty jemisin 2026 jyldary jeymiz.

Qazaqstan - perspektivasy myqty memleket. S&P, Dýniyejýzilik bank analitikteri әr sózin salmaqtap, tereng zertteuden keyin ghana aitady. Sondyqtan, siz ben biz erteng kýlip oyanatyn bolamyz.

Aybar Oljaevtyng әleumettik jelidegi jazbasy

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